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Wexford vs Waterford

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wexford play Waterford in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wexford averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Waterford averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Wexford won 2, Waterford won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 23, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Wexford and 1.88 for Waterford. This points to a Wexford double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Wexford
23%
Draws
34%
Waterford
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Wexford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Wexford picked up more points recently compared to Waterford.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%
Waterford Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wexford Waterford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Wexford vs Waterford
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Wexford vs Waterford
2:1
Sep 29, 2023 Division 1
Waterford vs Wexford
0:0
Aug 7, 2023 Division 1
Wexford vs Waterford
0:1
May 1, 2023 Division 1
Waterford vs Wexford
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wexford 41 / 100
Waterford 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wexford Waterford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wexford or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wexford attacking → ← attacking Waterford

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wexford scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Waterford let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Wexford went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Waterford lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 32
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13