Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Weymouth vs SE Dons - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Morgan-Griffiths D.
41' Event
Bohui J.
49' Event
Hand R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-5. This leg finished 1-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Weymouth
15%
Draws
47%
SE Dons
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SE Dons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Weymouth lately — more wins on the board than SE Dons.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Weymouth taking it.
  • Weymouth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SE Dons, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Weymouth Clean Sheet 10%
SE Dons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weymouth SE Dons
Matches Played 30 3
Wins 14 3
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 0
Goals Scored 1.67 3.33
Goals Conceded 1.53 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 FA Cup
Weymouth vs SE Dons
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Weymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Genesini B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

SE Dons Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan-Griffiths D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bohui J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weymouth 34 / 100
SE Dons 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weymouth SE Dons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Weymouth found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: SE Dons conceded in 67% of 3 recent games.

Weymouth went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Weymouth VS SE Dons
1.63 Goals Scored 3.33
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Weymouth

(Home)
03 Oct
Weymouth
1 : 5
SE Dons
26 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 3
Weymouth
19 Sept
Swindon Supermarine
1 : 3
Weymouth
12 Sept
Hartpury University
2 : 3
Weymouth
05 Sept
Bath City
0 : 2
Weymouth
Page 1 of 6

SE Dons

(Away)
03 Oct
Weymouth
1 : 5
SE Dons
19 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 3
SE Dons
05 Sept
SE Dons
2 : 0
Erith Town

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Harborough -
TBD -
Stourbridge 1
Rushall 3
FC Witham Town 3
Stotfold 2
St. Albans 2
Hashtag 0
AFC Emley 3
Bishop Auckland 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Lower Breck 5
Thornaby 1
TBD -
Chester -
North Ferriby FC 0
Barton Town 2
Bourne 2
Boldmere St Michaels 3
Warrington Rylands 3
Hyde 1
TBD -
Chorley -
Wellingborough 3
Kettering 4
Quorn 2
Shepshed 1
Knowle 1
Worcester 2
Alfreton 0
Stratford 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Northampton on Chenecks 0
TBD -
Hereford -
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 1
Stamford 0
Mickleover 1
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
TBD -
Whitby 2
Ashton United 5
South Shields -
TBD -
Avro 0
Witton Albion 2
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 4
Grays 0
Leiston 5
Hednesford -
TBD -
Coventry United 2
Bedworth United 1
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
Stockton 3
Guiseley 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Bradford PA 2
Lancaster 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunstable 1
Woodford Town 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
Cornard United 0
AFC Totton -
TBD -
Gloucester City 5
Mangotsfield 1
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 6
South Liverpool 4
Prestwich Heys 3
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Redcar Athletic 1
Stocksbridge 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Vauxhall 0
Dunston 2
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Leamington 3
Ilkeston 1
Sherwood Colliery 2
Gainsborough 4
Northampton Sileby 0
Anstey Nomads 4
Cleethorpes 1
Newcastle Town 2
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
Garforth 1
United of Manchester 5
Ossett United 1
Pontefract Collieries 0
Bury FC 8
Wythenshawe FC 0
Workington 3
Marske United 0
Bromsgrove 2
Nuneaton 0
Sporting Khalsa 0
Leek Town 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrogate -
Leighton Town 1
Gorleston 4
London Lions 2
Bury Town 4
Spalding United -
TBD -
Hanley Town 2
Abbey Hulton 1
Cambridge City 6
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Yaxley 1
Buckhurst Hill 4
Alvechurch 2
Wolverhampton City 0
Lye Town 1
Racing Club Warwick 5
Desborough Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 4
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Stanway Rovers 1
Needham Market 3
TBD -
Braintree -
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Redcar Town 1
Blyth Spartans 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 1
Knaresborough Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Trafford 3
Northwich Victoria 2
Atherton Collieries 3
Prescot Cables 2
Horbury Town 0
Salisbury -
TBD -
Taunton Town 4
Millbrook 0
Dulwich Hamlet 4
East Grinstead Town 0
Faversham 2
Welling 3
Thame United 3
Reading City 2
Banbury 1
Exmouth Town 2
Whitehawk 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Holmesdale 1
Windsor & Eton 5
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Fleetlands 0
Cirencester 3
TBD -
Farnham -
Chesham -
TBD -
Ware 6
Fakenham 4
Harleston Town 3
Romford 1
Real Bedford 4
Royston Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Three Bridges 0
Kingstonian 1
Leatherhead 3
Croydon Athletic 0
Ascot United 1
Pagham 3
Hanworth Villa 4
Whitstable Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Lewes 2
Cray Wanderers 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Yate 3
Devizes Town 0
Chippenham Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Uxbridge 3
Haywards Heath 0
TBD -
Farnborough -
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Slimbridge 4
Wells City 0
Hungerford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Poole Town 1
Tadley Calleva 3
Laverstock & Ford 1
Westfield 1
Dartford 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Camberley Town 1
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Ramsgate 1
Bracknell Town 0
Torquay -
TBD -
Basingstoke 0
AFC Stoneham 1
Brixham 2
Dorchester 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Billericay -
TBD -
Frenford 0
Enfield Town 4
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Crowborough 4
Whyteleafe 3
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Wimborne 3
Portishead Town 1
Brackley -
TBD -
Portchester 2
Portland United 1
Canvey Island 2
Newmarket 1
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley 4
Cheshunt 2
Concord Rangers 2
Brentwood 4
Brantham 0
Waltham Abbey 7
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malvern Town 1
Redditch 5
Belper Town 0
Evesham 3
Stortford 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Hendon 7
Hullbridge 3
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
St. Blazey 1
Tiverton 2
Sholing 2
Andover New Street 0
Winslow United 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Bath City 0
Weymouth 2
Broadfields United 1
Chichester City 4
SE Dons 2
Erith Town 0
Falmouth Town 2
Frome Town 4
Gosport Borough 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Margate 1
Snodland 3
Redhill 1
Sheppey United 2
Chertsey Town 3
Carshalton 2
Sittingbourne 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4
Flackwell Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Burgess Hill 3
Jersey Bulls 1
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Southall FC 2
Cobham 1
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Slough Town -
TBD -
Egham Town 0
Chatham 4
Quarter-finals
Harborough 1
Rushall 0
FC Witham Town 0
St. Albans 3
AFC Emley 0
Spennymoor 4
Lower Breck 1
Chester 2
Barton Town 3
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Warrington Rylands 0
Chorley 1
Kettering 2
Quorn 0
Worcester 2
Stratford 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Hereford 2
Halesowen 2
Mickleover 0
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton 1
Ashton United 0
South Shields 7
Witton Albion 0
Hitchin 1
Leiston 2
Hednesford 0
Coventry United 1
Hebburn Town 1
Guiseley 4
Bradford PA 1
Lancaster 0
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woodford Town 1
Mulbarton Wanderers 2
AFC Totton 0
Gloucester City 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine 3
Radcliffe 2
Warrington Town 3
South Liverpool 0
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Redcar Athletic 1
Macclesfield 2
Dunston 0
Scarborough Athletic 2
Leamington 1
Gainsborough 4
Anstey Nomads 2
Newcastle Town 1
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford 4
Worksop 7
United of Manchester 4
Ossett United 1
Bury FC 5
Workington 1
Bromsgrove 2
Leek Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrogate -
Gorleston 3
Bury Town 4
Spalding United 2
Hanley Town 0
Cambridge City 3
Buckhurst Hill 1
Alvechurch 3
Racing Club Warwick 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 1
Needham Market 3
Braintree 6
Morecambe 2
Southport 0
Redcar Town 2
Darlington FC 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 1
Trafford 2
Atherton Collieries 2
Prescot Cables 0
Salisbury 4
Taunton Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Welling 1
Thame United 6
Exmouth Town 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town 1
Truro 3
Cirencester 4
Farnham 3
Chesham 7
Ware 2
Harleston Town 1
Real Bedford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Kingstonian 0
Leatherhead 1
Pagham 0
Hanworth Villa 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford 2
King’s Lynn 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Cray Wanderers 3
Maidstone 1
Yate 1
Chippenham Town 2
Uxbridge 4
Farnborough 2
Slimbridge 1
Hungerford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bishops Cleeve 0
Tadley Calleva 1
Dartford 4
Hayes & Yeading 2
Tonbridge 2
Ramsgate 1
Torquay 6
AFC Stoneham 1
Dorchester 0
Oxford City 2
Billericay 1
Enfield Town 3
Hampton & Richmond 4
Crowborough 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wimborne 3
Brackley 1
Portchester 0
Canvey Island 0
Chelmsford 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley 2
Brentwood 3
Waltham Abbey 1
Dagenham & Red. 4
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch 3
Evesham 0
Berkhamsted Town 4
Hendon 1
Maidenhead 1
Ebbsfleet 3
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Weymouth 3
Chichester City 2
SE Dons 3
Frome Town 0
Plymouth Parkway 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Horsham FC 3
Snodland 0
Sheppey United 1
Chertsey Town 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 2
Hanwell Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Dover Ath. 4
Folkestone 2
Southall FC 6
Dorking Wanderers 7
Slough Town 0
Chatham 1
Semi-finals
Harborough 3
St. Albans 2
Spennymoor 4
Chester 1
Barton Town 1
Chorley 4
Kettering 1
Worcester 3
Gateshead -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Halesowen 2
Halifax -
TBD -
Buxton 0
South Shields 2
Leiston 3
Coventry United 1
Guiseley 1
Bradford PA 0
Barrow -
TBD -
Mulbarton Wanderers 1
Gloucester City 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Marine 2
Warrington Town 0
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Macclesfield 4
Scarborough Athletic 3
Gainsborough 2
Anstey Nomads 3
Altrincham -
TBD -
Worksop 0
United of Manchester 3
Bury FC 2
Bromsgrove 1
TBD -
Harrogate -
Bury Town 1
Spalding United 5
Cambridge City 1
Alvechurch 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Braintree 1
Morecambe 3
Darlington FC 0
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Trafford 2
Atherton Collieries 5
Salisbury 5
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Thame United 0
Eastbourne Borough 1
Sutton -
TBD -
Truro 4
Cirencester 0
Chesham 4
Real Bedford 3
TBD -
Forest Green -
Leatherhead 1
Hanworth Villa 0
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford 5
Wingate & Finchley 3
Cray Wanderers 3
Chippenham Town 0
Uxbridge 3
Hungerford 1
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Tadley Calleva 2
Dartford 1
Tonbridge 0
Torquay 1
Oxford City 6
Enfield Town 1
Crowborough 1
Wimborne 2
Brackley 0
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Brentwood 3
Dagenham & Red. 1
Southend -
TBD -
Redditch 0
Berkhamsted Town 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Sholing 2
Weymouth 1
SE Dons 5
Plymouth Parkway 2
Horsham FC 1
Sheppey United 0
Chertsey Town 2
Hanwell Town 1
Dover Ath. 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Chatham 0
Final
Harborough -
Spennymoor -
Chorley -
Worcester -
Gateshead -
Stafford -
Halifax -
South Shields -
Leiston -
Guiseley -
Barrow -
Gloucester City -
Hartlepool -
Marine -
Boston United -
Scunthorpe -
Macclesfield -
Anstey Nomads -
Altrincham -
United of Manchester -
Bury FC -
Harrogate -
Spalding United -
Alvechurch -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Morecambe -
Kidderminster -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
Atherton Collieries -
Salisbury -
Eastbourne Borough -
Sutton -
Truro -
Chesham -
Forest Green -
Leatherhead -
Yeovil -
Bedford -
Cray Wanderers -
Uxbridge -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
Tadley Calleva -
Torquay -
Oxford City -
Wimborne -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
Brentwood -
Southend -
Berkhamsted Town -
Sholing -
SE Dons -
Plymouth Parkway -
Chertsey Town -
Dover Ath. -
Dorking Wanderers -