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Whitby vs Curzon Ashton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Turnbull Ground, Whitby
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Whitby host Curzon Ashton in the NPL Premier Division. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Whitby have averaged 1.29 scored and 2.21 conceded recently, against Curzon Ashton's 1.43 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Whitby have won 0 to Curzon Ashton's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2015, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.75) point toward Curzon Ashton. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Whitby
15%
Draws
64%
Curzon Ashton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curzon Ashton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Curzon Ashton lately — more wins on the board than Whitby.
  • Model gives Curzon Ashton a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Whitby Curzon Ashton
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2015 NPL Premier Division
Curzon Ashton vs Whitby
3:0
Aug 20, 2014 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Curzon Ashton
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Whitby 10 / 100
Curzon Ashton 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Whitby Curzon Ashton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curzon Ashton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Whitby's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Curzon Ashton conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Whitby has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Whitby VS Curzon Ashton
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Whitby

(Home)
10 Oct
Whitby
0 : 0
Bamber Bridge
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6
Gainsborough
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2
Lancaster
26 Sept
Bridlington Town
3 : 0
Whitby
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3
Whitby
Page 1 of 6

Curzon Ashton

(Away)
10 Oct
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Hyde
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Stalybridge
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2
Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2
Bradford PA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 14 9 4 1 31:12 31
2 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
5 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
6 Gainsborough 12 7 1 4 25:16 22
7 Curzon Ashton 12 7 1 4 24:16 22
8 Warrington Town 12 6 4 2 23:18 22
9 Workington 14 6 3 5 24:24 21
10 Lancaster 14 6 2 6 19:26 20
11 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
12 Alfreton 14 6 1 7 20:16 19
13 Whitby 13 5 1 7 19:33 16
14 Hyde 14 4 3 7 15:25 15
15 Ashton United 12 3 5 4 14:13 14
16 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
17 Stockton 14 3 3 8 17:25 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 13 2 5 6 12:25 11
20 Bamber Bridge 13 2 4 7 16:32 10
21 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
22 Ilkeston 14 2 1 11 8:34 7
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