Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Whitby vs Newton Aycliffe

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025 Turnbull Ground, Whitby
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Newton Aycliffe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Whitby
15%
Draws
42%
Newton Aycliffe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Whitby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Newton Aycliffe haven't matched Whitby's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Newton Aycliffe a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Whitby have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newton Aycliffe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Whitby Clean Sheet 18%
Newton Aycliffe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Whitby Newton Aycliffe
Matches Played 36 25
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.47 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 FA Trophy
Whitby vs Newton Aycliffe
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Whitby 28 / 100
Newton Aycliffe 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Whitby Newton Aycliffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newton Aycliffe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newton Aycliffe has conceded goals in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Attacking prowess: Whitby scored in 75% of their last 36 outings.

Newton Aycliffe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Whitby VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Whitby

(Home)
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3
Whitby
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5
Ashton United
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4
Alfreton
29 Aug
Quorn
3 : 6
Whitby
25 Aug
Cleethorpes
6 : 0
Whitby
Page 1 of 8

Newton Aycliffe

(Away)
20 Sept
Heaton Stannington
4 : 0
Newton Aycliffe
06 Sept
Newton Aycliffe
3 : 0
Blyth Town
01 Aug
Newton Aycliffe
2 : 1
Hebburn Town
22 Jul
Newton Aycliffe
1 : 3
Darlington FC
26 Oct
Stockton
2 : 1
Newton Aycliffe
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Workington -
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Morpeth -
Blyth Spartans -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 3
Mossley AFC 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Pontefract Collieries 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Emley 2
Dunston 0
Vauxhall 1
Newton Aycliffe 2
Stalybridge 1
Ossett United 2
Witton Albion 1
Bradford PA 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Liversedge 1
Avro 2
FC Congleton Town 1
Wythenshawe FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Bridlington Town 0
Trafford 1
Consett 1
Atherton Collieries 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Garforth 0
Wythenshawe Town 1
Stocksbridge 3
Widnes FC 0
TBD -
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Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Bamber Bridge -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
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TBD -
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United of Manchester -
Brighouse Town 1
Clitheroe 2
Heaton Stannington 1
North Ferriby FC 0
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Lancaster -
Stourbridge -
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Matlock -
Kettering -
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Gainsborough -
Stamford -
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Anstey Nomads 6
Shepshed 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Newcastle Town 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Belper Town 2
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Sheffield FC 2
Loughborough Students 3
Worcester 1
Hinckley LR 4
Hednesford 4
Quorn 1
Grimsby Borough 2
Chasetown 3
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Bromsgrove -
Coventry Sphinx 0
Sporting Khalsa 2
Bishop Auckland 1
Nantwich 2
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Harborough -
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TBD -
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Basford Utd. -
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Racing Club Warwick 2
Hanley Town 3
Bedworth United 1
Sherwood Colliery 3
Barwell -
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Telford -
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Walsall Wood 2
Stafford 1
Darlaston Town (1874) 0
Cleethorpes 2
Ilkeston -
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Grantham Town 0
Coleshill Town 2
Rugby 0
Carlton Town 1
Worksop -
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St Ives Town -
Leek Town -
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Mickleover -
Spalding United -
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Alvechurch -
Sheppey United 2
Ramsgate 3
Raynes Park Vale 4
Beckenham Town 3
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Cray Valley -
Bowers & Pitsea -
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Walthamstow FC 1
Real Bedford 2
Leighton Town 1
Stotfold 0
Sittingbourne 2
Sutton Common Rovers 0
Kingstonian 3
Eastbourne Town 0
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Bognor Regis -
Potters -
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Whitehawk -
Uxbridge 6
Phoenix Sports 0
Croydon Athletic 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
Westfield 4
Metropolitan Police 0
Steyning Town 0
Thame United 5
Deal Town 0
Ashford United 1
Hartley Wintney 2
East Grinstead Town 1
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Walton & Hersham -
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Basildon 2
Enfield FC 2
Biggleswade FC 0
Wroxham 1
Aylesbury United 0
Redbridge 1
Haringey Borough 3
Hanwell Town -
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AFC Dunstable 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Tilbury 2
Welwyn Garden 1
Sudbury -
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Ware 2
Newmarket 3
Cambridge City 1
Kings Langley 0
Sevenoaks 3
Harrow Borough 0
Hayes & Yeading 0
Leatherhead 1
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Hastings -
Folkestone -
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Ascot United 5
Merstham 0
Hanworth Villa 0
Margate 5
Lewes -
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Bracknell Town -
Leiston -
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Horsham FC -
Bedford -
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Hendon -
Heybridge 0
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Wellingborough 2
Corby 3
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Canvey Island -
Farnham 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Badshot Lea 0
Broadbridge Heath 4
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Stortford -
Dover Ath. -
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Cheshunt -
Mildenhall 2
Brightlingsea 4
Brentwood 3
FC Witham Town 2
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Cray Wanderers -
Lowestoft -
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Royston Town -
Marlow -
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Biggleswade Town -
Littlehampton 3
Sporting Bengal 2
Southall FC 0
Burgess Hill 2
Leverstock Green 1
Bury Town 0
Barton 2
Waltham Abbey 1
Chichester City -
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Three Bridges 2
Hythe 1
Herne Bay 1
Northwood 0
Chertsey Town -
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Billericay -
Chatham -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Dartford -
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Hashtag -
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Hitchin -
Hadley 2
Grays 1
Ipswich Wanderers 2
Gorleston 0
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Carshalton -
Bashley 0
Mousehole 4
Falmouth Town 3
Cinderford Town 0
Thatcham 1
Evesham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Westbury United 0
Gloucester City -
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Wimborne -
Frome Town -
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Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
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Basingstoke -
AFC Totton -
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Merthyr Town -
Hungerford -
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Sholing -
Tiverton -
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Dorchester -
Plymouth Parkway -
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Banbury -
Poole Town -
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Gosport Borough -
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 1
Yate 3
Bideford 2
Malvern Town 0
Helston Athletic 1
Melksham 2
Willand Rovers 0
Bishops Cleeve 2
Winchester City -
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Swindon Supermarine -
Tavistock 3
Larkhall 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
North Leigh 1
Exmouth Town 4
Kidlington 1
Horndean 3
Binfield 0
Semi-finals
Workington -
TBD -
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Morpeth -
Blyth Spartans -
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City Of Liverpool 4
Pontefract Collieries 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Whitby -
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AFC Emley 0
Newton Aycliffe 3
Ossett United 2
Bradford PA 1
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Avro 0
FC Congleton Town 1
TBD -
Hyde -
Trafford 3
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
Ashton United -
Wythenshawe Town 2
Stocksbridge 3
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
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United of Manchester -
Clitheroe 3
Heaton Stannington 1
TBD -
Lancaster -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stamford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Belper Town 2
Loughborough Students 1
Hinckley LR 2
Hednesford 1
Chasetown 2
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Sporting Khalsa 4
Nantwich 3
TBD -
Harborough -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
Hanley Town 1
Sherwood Colliery 0
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
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Walsall Wood 1
Cleethorpes 2
Ilkeston -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 3
Carlton Town 2
Worksop -
TBD -
TBD -
St Ives Town -
Leek Town -
TBD -
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Mickleover -
Spalding United -
TBD -
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Alvechurch -
Ramsgate 2
Raynes Park Vale 1
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
Real Bedford 4
Leighton Town 0
Sittingbourne 4
Kingstonian 1
TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Uxbridge 2
Croydon Athletic 1
Westfield 1
Thame United 3
Ashford United 2
Hartley Wintney 1
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Enfield FC 1
Wroxham 1
Haringey Borough 3
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town 4
Tilbury 0
Sudbury -
TBD -
Newmarket 1
Cambridge City 3
Sevenoaks 1
Leatherhead 2
TBD -
Hastings -
Folkestone -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Margate 0
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Corby 2
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Flackwell Heath 6
Broadbridge Heath 1
TBD -
Stortford -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Brightlingsea 1
Brentwood 2
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Marlow -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town -
Littlehampton 1
Burgess Hill 0
Leverstock Green 3
Barton 4
Chichester City -
TBD -
Three Bridges 0
Herne Bay 3
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Hashtag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hadley 4
Ipswich Wanderers 1
TBD -
Carshalton -
Mousehole 3
Falmouth Town 1
Evesham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Tiverton -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Yate 2
Bideford 0
Melksham 2
Bishops Cleeve 0
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Tavistock 3
North Leigh 0
Exmouth Town 1
Horndean 2
Final
Workington 3
Morpeth 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Stockton 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Macclesfield 3
Whitby 0
Newton Aycliffe 1
Ossett United 2
Prescot Cables 0
FC Congleton Town 1
Hyde 0
Trafford 2
Ashton United 5
Stocksbridge 1
Warrington Rylands 2
Guiseley 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Hebburn Town 0
United of Manchester 3
Clitheroe 2
Lancaster 0
Stourbridge 3
Matlock 0
Kettering 0
Gainsborough 2
Stamford 1
Anstey Nomads 5
Belper Town 3
Hinckley LR 1
Chasetown 1
Bromsgrove 0
Sporting Khalsa 5
Harborough 2
Redditch 0
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 3
Hanley Town 2
Barwell 1
Stratford 0
Telford 2
Cleethorpes 1
Ilkeston 2
Coleshill Town 3
Worksop 2
St Ives Town 1
Leek Town 0
Mickleover 1
Spalding United 1
Alvechurch 2
Ramsgate 1
Cray Valley 3
Bowers & Pitsea 3
Real Bedford 0
Sittingbourne 2
Bognor Regis 1
Potters 2
Whitehawk 1
Uxbridge 3
Thame United 2
Ashford United 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Haringey Borough 0
Hanwell Town 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Sudbury 0
Cambridge City 1
Leatherhead 1
Hastings 2
Folkestone 8
Ascot United 1
Lewes 6
Bracknell Town 3
Leiston 1
Horsham FC 2
Bedford 1
Hendon 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Canvey Island 2
Flackwell Heath 1
Stortford 2
Dover Ath. 3
Cheshunt 0
Brentwood 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Lowestoft 2
Royston Town 3
Marlow 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Littlehampton 0
Barton 1
Chichester City 2
Herne Bay 0
Chertsey Town 2
Billericay 1
Chatham 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Dartford 0
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hashtag 1
Hitchin 0
Hadley 3
Carshalton 1
Mousehole 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Gloucester City 3
Wimborne 2
Frome Town 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Taunton Town 1
Basingstoke 0
AFC Totton 1
Merthyr Town 0
Hungerford 3
Sholing 1
Tiverton 0
Dorchester 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Banbury 2
Poole Town 1
Gosport Borough 2
Yate 3
Melksham 0
Winchester City 5
Swindon Supermarine 2
Tavistock 3
Horndean 1