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Whitley Bay vs Ashington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
49' Event
76' Event

AI Match Summary

Ashington in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ashington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Whitley Bay
15%
Draws
42%
Ashington
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Whitley Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ashington have won more games recently than Whitley Bay.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ashington taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Whitley Bay Clean Sheet 11%
Ashington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Whitley Bay Ashington
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Whitley Bay vs Ashington
1:2
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Whitley Bay vs Ashington
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Whitley Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilchrist J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brewis C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

Ashington Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Whitley Bay 10 / 100
Ashington 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Whitley Bay Ashington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ashington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Whitley Bay found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

Defensive concern: Ashington conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Ashington has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Whitley Bay VS Ashington
1.67 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Whitley Bay

(Home)
16 Jul
Whitley Bay
1 : 2
Ashington
22 Jul
Whitley Bay
1 : 6
Workington
17 Jul
Horden
1 : 4
Whitley Bay
15 Jul
Whitley Bay
2 : 3
Ashington
11 Jul
Whitley Bay
1 : 0
Dunston
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Ashington

(Away)
12 Sept
Ashington
1 : 2
FC Guisborough Town
29 Aug
Ashington
3 : 1
West Auckland Town
31 Aug
Crook Town
2 : 1
Ashington
30 Jul
Ashington
4 : 0
Spennymoor
27 Jul
Ashington
0 : 1
Workington
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