Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wiazownica vs Chelmianka Chelm

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kitlinski M.
60' Event
Piekarski P.
68' Event
Kitlinski M.

AI Match Summary

Chelmianka Chelm in this III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmianka Chelm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Wiazownica
6%
Draws
90%
Chelmianka Chelm
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chelmianka Chelm have won more games recently than Wiazownica.
  • Win probability leans Chelmianka Chelm's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Wiazownica Clean Sheet 15%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wiazownica Chelmianka Chelm
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Wiazownica vs Chelmianka Chelm
2:3
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Wiazownica
3:0
May 25, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Wiazownica
2:5
Nov 3, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Wiazownica vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:4
Apr 15, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Wiazownica vs Chelmianka Chelm
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wiazownica Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitlinski M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Piekarski P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mroczek K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wiazownica 10 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wiazownica Chelmianka Chelm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Wiazownica scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Chelmianka Chelm let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Wiazownica stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wiazownica VS Chelmianka Chelm
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sandecja Nowy S.34228465:3174
2Podhale Nowy Targ34215867:4368
3Siarka Tarnobrzeg34205976:4265
4Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34196955:4063
5Avia Swidnik34188877:4462
6Korona Kielce II341710771:5061
7Star Starachowice341671161:4655
8Biala Podlaska341581159:4253
9Chelmianka Chelm341651374:6253
10Wisloka Debica341441661:5546
11Czarni Polaniec341181552:6441
12Wisla II341181572:6041
13Swidniczanka Swidnik341091544:5439
14Wislanie Skawina341091541:6039
15Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341071750:6837
16Wiazownica34791838:7030
17Lewart Lubartow34542531:8519
18Unia Tarnow34242828:10610