Sport Picks
Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
Ekstraklasa Stadion Widzewa Łódź, Lodz 
Match Events
8'
8'
Kapuadi S.
Assist: Shehu J.
22'
22'
Fassbender M.
Assist: Dlugosz W.
26'
26'
Fassbender M.
Assist: Pieczek M.
AI Match Summary
Korona Kielce in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Korona Kielce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
24%
/ Low Confidence
- Korona Kielce have won more games recently than Widzew Lodz.
- 24% — that's where the model lands on Widzew Lodz taking it.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Korona Kielce have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Widzew Lodz Clean Sheet 68%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Widzew Lodz | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Polish Cup
Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce
0:1
Aug 15, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce
1:2
May 15, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce
1:3
Apr 11, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Widzew Lodz Compare
Top Goalscorer Kapuadi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Korona Kielce Compare
Top Goalscorer Fassbender M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Widzew Lodz 59 / 100
Korona Kielce 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Widzew Lodz Korona Kielce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Widzew Lodz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Widzew Lodz scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Korona Kielce conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Widzew Lodz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Widzew Lodz VS Korona Kielce
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Widzew Lodz
(Home) 26 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2 Leczna
18 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2 KS Wieczysta Krakow
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0 Radomiak Radom
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1 Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2 Leczna
18 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2 KS Wieczysta Krakow
05 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0 Radomiak Radom
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1 Korona Kielce
30 Aug
Widzew Lodz
2 : 3 Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 4
Korona Kielce
(Away) 03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1 Korona Kielce
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Wisla
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1 Korona Kielce
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1 Korona Kielce
28 Aug
Wisla Plock
0 : 2 Korona Kielce
15 Aug
Widzew Lodz
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 9 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12:21 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
