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Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Widzewa Łódź, Lodz
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Match Events

6' Event
Kozubal A.
Assist: Walemark P.
22' Event
Sayyadmanesh A.
Assist: Walemark P.
27' Event
Swiderski K.
Assist: Fornalczyk M.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa game between Widzew Lodz and Lech Poznan finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech Poznan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Widzew Lodz
35%
Draws
41%
Lech Poznan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lech Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lech Poznan come out ahead of Widzew Lodz on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Widzew Lodz Clean Sheet 10%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Widzew Lodz Lech Poznan
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 9 18
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.48 2.46
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Widzew Lodz
2:1
Jan 31, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Widzew Lodz
4:1
Jul 27, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Widzew Lodz Compare

Top Goalscorer Swiderski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fornalczyk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lech Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozubal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sayyadmanesh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Widzew Lodz 29 / 100
Lech Poznan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Widzew Lodz Lech Poznan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Widzew Lodz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Widzew Lodz's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Lech Poznan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Widzew Lodz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Widzew Lodz VS Lech Poznan
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Widzew Lodz

(Home)
26 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2
Leczna
18 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2
KS Wieczysta Krakow
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0
Radomiak Radom
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1
Korona Kielce
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Lech Poznan

(Away)
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2
Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1
Radomiak Radom
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1
Lech Poznan
06 Sept
Lech Poznan
1 : 0
Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 10 8 1 1 19:9 25
2 Lech Poznan 9 7 1 1 21:8 22
3 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 GKS Katowice 9 5 0 4 20:14 15
6 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
7 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Zaglebie 10 4 3 3 12:13 15
9 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
10 Jagiellonia 9 4 0 5 13:16 12
11 Cracovia 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
12 Wisla Plock 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
13 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
14 KS Wieczysta Krakow 9 2 2 5 14:17 8
15 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 Slask Wroclaw 10 1 3 6 12:19 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 10 1 0 9 13:25 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)