Wolves U21 in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
Wigan
15%
Draws
26%
Wolves U21
Draw rate projection: 15%Favored: Wigan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
Wolves U21 haven't matched Wigan's recent run of results.
Wigan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Wigan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Wolves U21, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals44%
Over 4.5 Goals20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)67.8%
Wigan Clean Sheet18%
Wolves U21 Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Wigan
Wolves U21
Matches Played
28
29
Wins
10
8
Draws
6
3
Losses
12
18
Goals Scored
1.11
1.21
Goals Conceded
1.25
2.31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2025EFL Trophy
WiganvsWolves U21
1:2
Aug 31, 2021EFL Trophy
WiganvsWolves U21
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wigan Compare
Top GoalscorerAsamoah M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.11
Avg xA / game0.72
Wolves U21 Compare
Top GoalscorerEdozie T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.19
Avg xA / game0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wigan85 / 100
Wolves U2110 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wigan Wolves U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickWigan Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:1
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wolves U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Wigan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Wolves U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.