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Wil vs Vaduz

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Lidl Arena, Wil
1 - 3
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mack L.
Assist: Cocic M.
31' Event
Beyer B.
Assist: Cocic M.
41'
Schwizer D.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Wil and Vaduz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaduz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Wil
39%
Draws
30%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Wil haven't matched Vaduz's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vaduz have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Vaduz
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 22
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
1:3
Jan 23, 2026 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Wil
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Wil
2:1
Apr 1, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wil Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalipi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mack L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beyer B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 30 / 100
Vaduz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Wil's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vaduz has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Wil went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Vaduz
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
24 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
4 : 5
Wil
18 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Bruhl SG
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Grasshoppers
26 Jun
A. Lustenau
2 : 0
Wil
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Vaduz

(Away)
26 Jul
Lugano
2 : 1
Vaduz
23 Jul
Vaduz
4 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
17 Jul
Lugano
1 : 2
Vaduz
10 Jul
Altach
1 : 0
Vaduz
04 Jul
Vaduz
1 : 0
A. Lustenau
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vaduz36256575:4181
2Aarau36255677:4780
3Yverdon36207975:4867
4Lausanne Ouchy361481459:5150
5Xamax361471555:5649
6Rapperswil-Jona361422052:6244
7Etoile-Carouge3610101646:5440
8Wil3610101639:5540
9Stade Nyonnais365131833:6028
10Bellinzona36582340:7723
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)