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Wil vs Vaduz

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Lidl Arena, Wil
1 - 3
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mack L.
Assist: Cocic M.
31' Event
Beyer B.
Assist: Cocic M.
41'
Schwizer D.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Wil and Vaduz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaduz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Wil
30%
Draws
35%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Wil haven't matched Vaduz's recent run of results.
  • Wil are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vaduz have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Vaduz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
1:3
Jan 23, 2026 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Wil
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Wil
2:1
Apr 1, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wil Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalipi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mack L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beyer B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 34 / 100
Vaduz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaduz let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Wil scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Wil went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Vaduz
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
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Vaduz

(Away)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1
Vaduz
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)