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Wil vs Winterthur

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Lidl Arena, Wil
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wil host Winterthur in the Challenge League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Winterthur have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Wil have conceded 1.9 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Winterthur slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.63 - 2.44) back Wil to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Wil
35%
Draws
51%
Winterthur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Winterthur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Winterthur at 1.55 per game, Wil at 1.52.
  • Win probability leans Winterthur's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Winterthur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Wil
5:0
Oct 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Winterthur vs Wil
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Swiss Cup
Wil vs Winterthur
2:3
May 9, 2022 Challenge League
Wil vs Winterthur
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Wil
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 10 / 100
Winterthur 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Winterthur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Winterthur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Winterthur conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Wil scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Wil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Winterthur
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
22 Aug
Wil
0 : 2
Kriens
Page 1 of 6

Winterthur

(Away)
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Winterthur
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
21 Aug
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 2
Winterthur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 8 6 2 0 17:3 20
2 Winterthur 8 4 3 1 17:7 15
3 Yverdon 8 4 3 1 14:9 15
4 Aarau 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
5 Xamax 8 4 0 4 12:14 12
6 Kriens 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Etoile-Carouge 8 2 3 3 7:8 9
8 Rapperswil-Jona 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
9 Wil 8 1 3 4 10:21 6
10 Stade Nyonnais 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)