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Wil vs Xamax

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Lidl Arena, Wil
5 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kone K.
Assist: Facchinetti M.
12' Event
Mulaj L.
Assist: Facchinetti M.
20'
Ndau K.

AI Match Summary

Wil in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Wil
28%
Draws
22%
Xamax
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Wil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xamax lately — more wins on the board than Wil.
  • Win probability leans Wil's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Wil Clean Sheet 11%
Xamax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Xamax
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Xamax
5:2
Mar 1, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Wil
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Xamax
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 Challenge League
Xamax vs Wil
3:1
May 23, 2025 Challenge League
Xamax vs Wil
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wil Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndau K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dalipi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Xamax Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mulaj L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 47 / 100
Xamax 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Xamax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Xamax conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Wil scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Wil went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Xamax
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
24 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
4 : 5
Wil
18 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Bruhl SG
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Grasshoppers
26 Jun
A. Lustenau
2 : 0
Wil
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Xamax

(Away)
24 Jul
Xamax
3 : 2
Kriens
11 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 2
Xamax
04 Jul
Thun
6 : 2
Xamax
01 Jul
Xamax
2 : 4
Sion
27 Jun
Lugano
2 : 1
Xamax
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vaduz36256575:4181
2Aarau36255677:4780
3Yverdon36207975:4867
4Lausanne Ouchy361481459:5150
5Xamax361471555:5649
6Rapperswil-Jona361422052:6244
7Etoile-Carouge3610101646:5440
8Wil3610101639:5540
9Stade Nyonnais365131833:6028
10Bellinzona36582340:7723
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)