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Willem II vs Almere City

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Koning Willem II Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
van Aalst U.
68'
Sub
Cornelisse E. In: Jacobs Ja.
Out: Cornelisse E.
69'
Sub
Bijleveld T. In: Takahashi N.
Out: Bijleveld T.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Willem II and Almere City finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Willem II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Willem II
6%
Draws
4%
Almere City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Willem II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Willem II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Willem II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Willem II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Willem II Clean Sheet 20%
Almere City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willem II Almere City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Almere City
2:0
May 13, 2026 Eredivisie
Almere City vs Willem II
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs Almere City
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Willem II
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Almere City
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer van Aalst U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Et Taibi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Almere City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willem II 85 / 100
Almere City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willem II Almere City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willem II scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Almere City let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Willem II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Willem II VS Almere City
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Roda2
Waalwijk3
TBD-
Willem II-
Den Bosch2
Almere City6
TBD-
De Graafschap-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Volendam-
Quarter-finals
Waalwijk1
Willem II2
Almere City5
De Graafschap3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Volendam-
Semi-finals
Willem II3
Almere City0
TBD-
FC Volendam-
Final
Willem II4
FC Volendam3