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Willem II vs Cambuur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Willem II host Cambuur in the Eredivisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Cambuur have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Willem II have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.76. Past meetings favor Cambuur slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 12, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 2.00, favoring Willem II. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Willem II
30%
Draws
62%
Cambuur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cambuur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Willem II lately — more wins on the board than Cambuur.
  • Win probability leans Cambuur's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willem II Cambuur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs Cambuur
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Willem II
2:2
Feb 2, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs Cambuur
1:1
Sep 17, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Willem II
1:0
May 11, 2022 Eredivisie
Cambuur vs Willem II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willem II 10 / 100
Cambuur 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willem II Cambuur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambuur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willem II found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Cambuur let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Willem II has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Willem II VS Cambuur
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Willem II

(Home)
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1
Willem II
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1
Sittard
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1
Willem II
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3
Excelsior
Page 1 of 6

Cambuur

(Away)
11 Oct
Zwolle
0 : 1
Cambuur
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4
Twente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 8 6 2 0 27:7 20
2 PSV 8 6 1 1 26:10 19
3 AZ Alkmaar 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Twente 8 5 2 1 16:8 17
5 Ajax 8 4 3 1 22:10 15
6 Groningen 8 4 2 2 20:14 14
7 Sittard 8 4 2 2 14:15 14
8 G.A. Eagles 8 2 5 1 19:17 11
9 Excelsior 8 3 2 3 16:14 11
10 Heerenveen 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Nijmegen 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
12 Cambuur 8 2 2 4 11:19 8
13 Utrecht 8 2 2 4 14:25 8
14 Sparta Rotterdam 8 1 3 4 13:20 6
15 Telstar 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
16 Zwolle 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
17 Den Haag 8 0 3 5 9:19 3
18 Willem II 8 0 2 6 7:23 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)