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Willem II vs Zwolle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Willem II host Zwolle in the Eredivisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Willem II at 1.61 goals for, 1.64 against; Zwolle at 1.21 for, 2.18 against. Head-to-head, Willem II have won 1 to Zwolle's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 14, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.13) point toward Willem II. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Willem II
15%
Draws
85%
Zwolle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zwolle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Willem II lately — more wins on the board than Zwolle.
  • Zwolle are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willem II Zwolle
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2025 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Zwolle
1:2
Dec 13, 2024 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Willem II
0:1
Mar 10, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs Zwolle
2:3
Sep 9, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Zwolle vs Willem II
2:2
Jan 14, 2022 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Willem II
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willem II 14 / 100
Zwolle 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willem II Zwolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zwolle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Willem II scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Zwolle has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Zwolle's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Willem II VS Zwolle
1 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Willem II

(Home)
24 Oct
Willem II
1 : 6
Cambuur
17 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Willem II
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1
Willem II
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1
Sittard
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1
Willem II
Page 1 of 6

Zwolle

(Away)
24 Oct
Utrecht
1 : 1
Zwolle
18 Oct
Zwolle
4 : 1
G.A. Eagles
11 Oct
Zwolle
0 : 1
Cambuur
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 10 7 3 0 32:11 24
2 Ajax 10 6 3 1 29:13 21
3 PSV 10 6 2 2 28:13 20
4 Twente 10 6 2 2 19:10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
6 Sittard 10 5 3 2 17:17 18
7 Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 18:13 15
8 Groningen 10 4 3 3 24:21 15
9 G.A. Eagles 10 3 5 2 23:23 14
10 Cambuur 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
11 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
12 Nijmegen 10 2 5 3 17:18 11
13 Excelsior 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 17:24 9
15 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 11:23 8
16 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 3 6 13:23 6
18 Willem II 10 0 2 8 10:32 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)