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Willemstad vs St. John's - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CFU Club Shield
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Leuteria R.
20' Event
Rosa D.
28' Event
Sherwin J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. This leg finished 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Willemstad
15%
Draws
57%
St. John's
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. John's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Willemstad haven't matched St. John's's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans St. John's's way, sitting at 70%.
  • St. John's arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Willemstad, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Willemstad Clean Sheet 11%
St. John's Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willemstad St. John's
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.65 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 CFU Club Shield
Willemstad vs St. John's
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Willemstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Leuteria R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rosa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

St. John's Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherwin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willemstad 14 / 100
St. John's 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willemstad St. John's

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. John's Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willemstad found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: St. John's conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Willemstad stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Willemstad VS St. John's
3 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Willemstad

(Home)
28 Jul
Willemstad
1 : 2
Delfines Del Este
26 Jul
Willemstad
5 : 2
St. John's
18 Feb
Willemstad
2 : 1
CSD Barber
21 Jan
Jong Holland
1 : 0
Willemstad
14 Jan
Willemstad
0 : 1
Victory Boys
Page 1 of 6

St. John's

(Away)
26 Jul
Willemstad
5 : 2
St. John's
23 Jul
Dublanc FC
1 : 3
St. John's
14 Dec
St. Davids
2 : 7
St. John's
30 Nov
St. John's
4 : 0
SAB Spartans
25 Oct
Camerhogne
1 : 2
St. John's
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Mount Pleasant -
TBD -
TBD -
All Saints United -
Britannia -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth Wales -
Prison Service -
TBD -
SWA Sharks 0
Slingerz 4
Robinhood -
TBD -
La Clery 2
Roaring Lions 1
Baltimore -
TBD -
St. Pauls United 0
Helenites 3
Metropolitan FA -
TBD -
North Leeward 3
SCSA Eagles 1
Willemstad -
TBD -
Dublanc FC 1
St. John's 3
Delfines Del Este -
TBD -
Elite 2
VG United 0
1/8-finals
Mount Pleasant -
All Saints United -
Britannia 1
Weymouth Wales 2
Prison Service 3
Slingerz 4
Robinhood 2
La Clery 0
Baltimore -
Helenites -
Metropolitan FA 4
North Leeward 0
Willemstad 5
St. John's 2
Delfines Del Este 2
Elite 0
Quarter-finals
Mount Pleasant 1
Weymouth Wales 0
Slingerz 0
Robinhood 4
Helenites 1
Metropolitan FA 2
Willemstad 1
Delfines Del Este 2
Semi-finals
Mount Pleasant 3
Robinhood 1
Metropolitan FA 0
Delfines Del Este 1
Final
Mount Pleasant 1
Delfines Del Este 0