Sport Picks
Wiltz vs Ettelbruck - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Luxembourg
BGL Ligue Stade Am Petz, Wiltz 
Match Events
7'
7'
Yamba Mubeya S.
Assist: Gustavo
59'
59'
Romeyns B.
Assist: Da Cunha Costa H.
AI Match Summary
The BGL Ligue game between Wiltz and Ettelbruck finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ettelbruck
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Wiltz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Wiltz's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 10%
Ettelbruck Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wiltz | Ettelbruck |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.37 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Ettelbruck
1:1
Apr 8, 2023 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Ettelbruck
3:0
Oct 23, 2022 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs Wiltz
1:2
Mar 12, 2022 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Ettelbruck
1:2
Sep 22, 2021 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs Wiltz
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wiltz Compare
Top Goalscorer Romeyns B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Ettelbruck Compare
Top Goalscorer Yamba Mubeya S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wiltz 34 / 100
Ettelbruck 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wiltz Ettelbruck
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ettelbruck has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Attacking prowess: Wiltz scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Ettelbruck has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Wiltz VS Ettelbruck
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wiltz
(Home) 18 Oct
Mondorf
4 : 1 Wiltz
11 Oct
Wiltz
0 : 2 UNA Strassen
20 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 6 Wiltz
16 Sept
Bissen
4 : 2 Wiltz
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Wiltz
0 : 2 UNA Strassen
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2 Dudelange
15 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2 Differdange
01 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 1 Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 4
Ettelbruck
(Away) 18 Oct
Jeunesse Esch
1 : 0 Ettelbruck
11 Oct
Ettelbruck
1 : 3 Dudelange
20 Sept
FC Schengen
0 : 1 Ettelbruck
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 Ettelbruck
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0 Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Jeunesse Esch
1 : 0 Ettelbruck
20 Sept
FC Schengen
0 : 1 Ettelbruck
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 Ettelbruck
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0 Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3 Ettelbruck
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 28 |
| 2 | Differdange | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 30:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Mondorf | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 22:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Kaerjeng | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 29:17 | 21 |
| 5 | Racing Luxembourg | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Bissen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progres Niedercorn | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Residence Walferdange | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:19 | 16 |
| 9 | Dudelange | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Hostert | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Jeunesse Esch | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 12 | Victoria Rosport | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 13 | Rumelange | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:28 | 7 |
| 14 | Ettelbruck | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15:28 | 4 |
| 16 | Hesperange | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2:38 | -12 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)
