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Wiltz vs Hostert

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2024/2025 Stade Am Petz, Wiltz
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Match Events

39'
Rodrigues A.
42'
Fernandes D.
45'
Meddour H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this BGL Ligue 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Wiltz
15%
Draws
26%
Hostert
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wiltz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wiltz lately — more wins on the board than Hostert.
  • Model gives Wiltz a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular BGL Ligue 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 10%
Hostert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wiltz Hostert
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Hostert
2:2
Aug 4, 2024 BGL Ligue
Hostert vs Wiltz
3:4
Apr 12, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Wiltz vs Hostert
4:1
Mar 12, 2023 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Hostert
2:2
Sep 11, 2022 BGL Ligue
Hostert vs Wiltz
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wiltz Compare

Top Goalscorer Raddas Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Philipps C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Hostert Compare

Top Goalscorer Avdusinovic K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wiltz 40 / 100
Hostert 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wiltz Hostert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Wiltz's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hostert's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Wiltz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wiltz VS Hostert
1.67 Goals Scored 1.75
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wiltz

(Home)
15 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Differdange
09 Aug
Hesperange
2 : 7
Wiltz
01 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
25 Jul
Wiltz
0 : 9
Eupen
31 May
FC Mamer
0 : 1
Wiltz
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Hostert

(Away)
16 Aug
Hostert
5 : 1
Ettelbruck
09 Aug
Kaerjeng
4 : 2
Hostert
02 Aug
FC Residence Walferdange
3 : 2
Hostert
22 Jul
Virton
1 : 0
Hostert
18 Jul
Dudelange
5 : 1
Hostert
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Differdange 30 25 3 2 69:7 78
2 UNA Strassen 30 18 6 6 62:23 60
3 Dudelange 30 17 6 7 67:34 57
4 Racing Luxembourg 30 17 6 7 50:22 57
5 Progres Niedercorn 30 16 7 7 54:30 55
6 Hesperange 30 16 6 8 56:34 54
7 Mondorf 30 16 5 9 53:39 53
8 Jeunesse Esch 30 11 9 10 41:48 42
9 Union Titus Petange 30 11 8 11 41:32 41
10 Hostert 30 11 5 14 50:69 38
11 Victoria Rosport 30 8 10 12 29:45 34
12 FC Rodange 91 30 7 8 15 40:62 29
13 Wiltz 30 8 5 17 37:61 29
14 Bettembourg 30 7 2 21 29:59 23
15 Fola 30 4 1 25 18:78 13
16 Mondercange 30 3 3 24 21:74 12
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2024/2025 (Relegation)