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Wiltz vs Mondercange

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2024/2025 Stade Am Petz, Wiltz
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Costa R.
38' Event
Gorny V.
Assist: Saidi N.
48' Event
Saidi N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Wiltz in this BGL Ligue 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wiltz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Wiltz
15%
Draws
85%
Mondercange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondercange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wiltz lately — more wins on the board than Mondercange.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular BGL Ligue 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Wiltz here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 14%
Mondercange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wiltz Mondercange
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.84 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.74 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Mondercange
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Luxembourg Cup
Mondercange vs Wiltz
1:6
Oct 20, 2024 BGL Ligue
Mondercange vs Wiltz
0:3
Apr 28, 2024 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Mondercange
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 Club Friendly
Wiltz vs Mondercange
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wiltz Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorny V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.11
Avg xA / game 1.37

Mondercange Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wiltz 30 / 100
Mondercange 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wiltz Mondercange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wiltz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondercange let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Wiltz scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Mondercange registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wiltz VS Mondercange
2.88 Goals Scored 1.2
2 Goals Conceded 2.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Wiltz

(Home)
16 Sept
Bissen
4 : 2
Wiltz
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Jeunesse Esch
5 : 1
Wiltz
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Dudelange
23 Aug
Victoria Rosport
4 : 0
Wiltz
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Mondercange

(Away)
09 Nov
Mondercange
2 : 3
Victoria Rosport
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4
Mondercange
28 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 6
FC Mamer
19 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 3
Kaerjeng
13 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
6 : 0
Mondercange
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Differdange 30 25 3 2 69:7 78
2 UNA Strassen 30 18 6 6 62:23 60
3 Dudelange 30 17 6 7 67:34 57
4 Racing Luxembourg 30 17 6 7 50:22 57
5 Progres Niedercorn 30 16 7 7 54:30 55
6 Hesperange 30 16 6 8 56:34 54
7 Mondorf 30 16 5 9 53:39 53
8 Jeunesse Esch 30 11 9 10 41:48 42
9 Union Titus Petange 30 11 8 11 41:32 41
10 Hostert 30 11 5 14 50:69 38
11 Victoria Rosport 30 8 10 12 29:45 34
12 FC Rodange 91 30 7 8 15 40:62 29
13 Wiltz 30 8 5 17 37:61 29
14 Bettembourg 30 7 2 21 29:59 23
15 Fola 30 4 1 25 18:78 13
16 Mondercange 30 3 3 24 21:74 12
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2024/2025 (Relegation)