Sport Picks
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Luxembourg
BGL Ligue Stade Am Petz, Wiltz 
Match Events
15'
15'
Hadji S.
Assist: Kitenge C.
60'
60'
Hadji S.
Assist: Hoxha F.
81'
81'
Schroeder C.
Assist: Hassaini N.
AI Match Summary
Progres Niedercorn in this BGL Ligue matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progres Niedercorn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Progres Niedercorn have won more games recently than Wiltz.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Progres Niedercorn taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Progres Niedercorn have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 10%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wiltz | Progres Niedercorn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.41 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn
1:2
Mar 4, 2026 Luxembourg Cup
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn
3:2
Mar 16, 2025 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Wiltz
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wiltz Compare
Top Goalscorer Schroeder C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Progres Niedercorn Compare
Top Goalscorer Hadji S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wiltz 10 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wiltz Progres Niedercorn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Wiltz scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Progres Niedercorn let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Wiltz stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wiltz VS Progres Niedercorn
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wiltz
(Home) 18 Oct
Mondorf
4 : 1 Wiltz
11 Oct
Wiltz
0 : 2 UNA Strassen
20 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 6 Wiltz
16 Sept
Bissen
4 : 2 Wiltz
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Wiltz
0 : 2 UNA Strassen
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2 Dudelange
15 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2 Differdange
01 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 1 Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 4
Progres Niedercorn
(Away) 17 Oct
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 2 Kaerjeng
11 Oct
Hostert
0 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7 Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7
11 Oct
Hostert
0 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7 Progres Niedercorn
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
16 Aug
Bissen
0 : 4 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 28 |
| 2 | Differdange | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 30:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Mondorf | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 22:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Kaerjeng | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 29:17 | 21 |
| 5 | Racing Luxembourg | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Bissen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progres Niedercorn | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Residence Walferdange | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:19 | 16 |
| 9 | Dudelange | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Hostert | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Jeunesse Esch | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 12 | Victoria Rosport | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 13 | Rumelange | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:28 | 7 |
| 14 | Ettelbruck | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15:28 | 4 |
| 16 | Hesperange | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2:38 | -12 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)
