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Wingate & Finchley vs Bognor Regis

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Restrepo C.
44' Event
Keller C.
63' Event
Higgs T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 game between Wingate & Finchley and Bognor Regis finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wingate & Finchley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Wingate & Finchley
30%
Draws
47%
Bognor Regis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bognor Regis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bognor Regis come out ahead of Wingate & Finchley on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bognor Regis's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 13%
Bognor Regis Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wingate & Finchley Bognor Regis
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Bognor Regis
4:1
Sep 7, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Wingate & Finchley
2:1
Mar 26, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Wingate & Finchley
2:2
Mar 16, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Bognor Regis
0:1
Feb 25, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Bognor Regis
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Top Goalscorer Restrepo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keller C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Bognor Regis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wingate & Finchley 11 / 100
Bognor Regis 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wingate & Finchley Bognor Regis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bognor Regis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Wingate & Finchley scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bognor Regis let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Wingate & Finchley stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wingate & Finchley VS Bognor Regis
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wingate & Finchley

(Home)
22 Aug
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 0
Dulwich Hamlet
15 Aug
Whyteleafe
2 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
10 Aug
Carshalton
2 : 0
Wingate & Finchley
08 Aug
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 1
Cray Wanderers
14 Jul
Kingstonian
3 : 0
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

Bognor Regis

(Away)
01 Aug
Bognor Regis
1 : 1
Chichester City
25 Jul
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 4
Bognor Regis
18 Jul
Sholing
3 : 2
Bognor Regis
11 Jul
Bognor Regis
4 : 1
Hamble
08 Jul
Bognor Regis
3 : 0
Fareham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horsham FC 42 28 3 11 82:40 87
2 Billericay 42 26 9 7 83:42 87
3 Dartford 42 25 9 8 77:49 84
4 Cray Valley 42 23 11 8 80:56 77
5 Dover Ath. 42 23 7 12 83:48 76
6 Chichester City 42 22 7 13 72:59 73
7 Carshalton 42 20 10 12 72:54 70
8 Hashtag 42 18 10 14 82:71 64
9 Chatham 42 17 12 13 74:53 63
10 Cray Wanderers 42 18 7 17 58:52 61
11 Wingate & Finchley 42 17 9 16 76:67 60
12 Folkestone 42 17 7 18 61:66 58
13 Lewes 42 15 13 14 59:64 58
14 Potters 42 17 6 19 57:75 57
15 Cheshunt 42 14 7 21 61:69 49
16 Whitehawk 42 14 7 21 49:66 49
17 Canvey Island 42 13 5 24 48:66 44
18 Dulwich Hamlet 42 12 8 22 58:80 44
19 Hendon 42 9 12 21 61:79 39
20 Hastings 42 8 10 24 37:75 34
21 Bognor Regis 42 8 8 26 51:100 32
22 Bowers & Pitsea 42 7 5 30 34:84 26
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)