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Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Botti G.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Botti G.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Wingate & Finchley and Canvey Island finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wingate & Finchley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Wingate & Finchley
30%
Draws
34%
Canvey Island
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wingate & Finchley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Wingate & Finchley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Wingate & Finchley's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 15%
Canvey Island Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wingate & Finchley Canvey Island
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island
2:0
Nov 4, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Wingate & Finchley
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Wingate & Finchley
2:3
Mar 9, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Wingate & Finchley
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Top Goalscorer Botti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Canvey Island Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wingate & Finchley 35 / 100
Canvey Island 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wingate & Finchley Canvey Island

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canvey Island let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Wingate & Finchley scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Canvey Island lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wingate & Finchley VS Canvey Island
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Wingate & Finchley

(Home)
14 Jul
Kingstonian
3 : 0
Wingate & Finchley
25 Apr
Wingate & Finchley
0 : 2
Aveley
18 Apr
Lewes
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
11 Apr
Chatham
4 : 0
Wingate & Finchley
06 Apr
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 0
St. Albans
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Canvey Island

(Away)
14 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
04 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 0
Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Canvey Island
2 : 4
Ramsgate
18 Apr
St. Albans
4 : 1
Canvey Island
11 Apr
Canvey Island
0 : 4
Dartford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folkestone422994102:4096
2Aveley422412690:5184
3Billericay422410881:4882
4Chatham422471183:3579
5Brentwood422461284:6678
6Dartford4220121081:5572
7Cray Wanderers421716979:7167
8Burgess Hill422071576:8167
9Dulwich Hamlet4217111461:5362
10Ramsgate4215121573:6857
11St. Albans421681871:5956
12Chichester City4214131557:6355
13Cheshunt4212141665:7050
14Whitehawk4212131758:7249
15Welling421532454:7548
16Wingate & Finchley4212102055:6746
17Lewes421372247:8346
18Carshalton4210141861:7344
19Cray Valley421192254:8042
20Hashtag421192260:8742
21Potters42933046:9430
22Canvey Island42692740:8727
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)