Sport Picks
Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Isthmian League Premier Division 
Match Events
6'
6'
Botti G.
43'
43'
45'
45'
Chukwu A.
AI Match Summary
The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Wingate & Finchley and Carshalton finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wingate & Finchley.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wingate & Finchley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Carshalton come out ahead of Wingate & Finchley on wins alone.
- Wingate & Finchley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 17%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wingate & Finchley | Carshalton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton
4:2
Aug 10, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Wingate & Finchley
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Wingate & Finchley
4:1
Dec 6, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton
2:2
Sep 2, 2025 FA Cup
Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wingate & Finchley Compare
Top Goalscorer Botti G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chukwu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Carshalton Compare
Top Goalscorer Saraiva F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wingate & Finchley 84 / 100
Carshalton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wingate & Finchley Carshalton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wingate & Finchley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wingate & Finchley found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Carshalton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Wingate & Finchley stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wingate & Finchley VS Carshalton
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Wingate & Finchley
(Home) 17 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 1 Stanway Rovers
13 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 0 Ramsgate
10 Oct
Dartford
2 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3 Bedford
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2 Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 1 Stanway Rovers
13 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 0 Ramsgate
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3 Bedford
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1 Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
0 : 0 Felixstowe & Walton
Page 1 of 3
Carshalton
(Away) 17 Oct
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 2 Carshalton
12 Oct
Carshalton
1 : 2 Enfield Town
10 Oct
Carshalton
0 : 1 St. Albans
05 Oct
Carshalton
0 : 4 Eastbourne Borough
03 Oct
Ramsgate
2 : 3 Carshalton
Page 1 of 7
17 Oct
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 2 Carshalton
03 Oct
Ramsgate
2 : 3 Carshalton
27 Sept
Southall FC
2 : 3 Carshalton
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3 Carshalton
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0 Carshalton
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 33:16 | 28 |
| 2 | Welling | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Lewes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Dartford | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Carshalton | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21:24 | 22 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Burgess Hill | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 17 |
| 9 | St. Albans | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:13 | 17 |
| 10 | Dulwich Hamlet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | 17 |
| 11 | Wingate & Finchley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Chatham | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19:14 | 15 |
| 13 | Leatherhead | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 14 | Whyteleafe | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 16 | Aveley | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 17 | Maldon & Tiptree | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 18:35 | 13 |
| 18 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 12 |
| 19 | Brentwood | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15:19 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23:34 | 9 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12:32 | 6 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9:30 | 4 |
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
