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Wingate & Finchley vs Coggeshall Town

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Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wingate & Finchley play Coggeshall Town in the Club Friendly 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wingate & Finchley averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Coggeshall Town averaged 1 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Wingate & Finchley won 1, Coggeshall Town won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 16, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Wingate & Finchley and 1.56 for Coggeshall Town. This points to a Wingate & Finchley double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Wingate & Finchley
25%
Draws
33%
Coggeshall Town
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Wingate & Finchley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Wingate & Finchley picked up more points recently compared to Coggeshall Town.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 15%
Coggeshall Town Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wingate & Finchley Coggeshall Town
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Wingate & Finchley vs Coggeshall Town
1:1
Oct 31, 2020 FA Trophy
Coggeshall Town vs Wingate & Finchley
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Coggeshall Town Compare

Top Goalscorer King F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wingate & Finchley 41 / 100
Coggeshall Town 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wingate & Finchley Coggeshall Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wingate & Finchley or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wingate & Finchley attacking → ← attacking Coggeshall Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wingate & Finchley scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Coggeshall Town let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Wingate & Finchley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Coggeshall Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 20
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00