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Winterthur vs Wil

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Winterthur host Wil in the Challenge League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Winterthur at 1.38 goals for, 1.75 against; Wil at 2.13 for, 2.38 against. Head-to-head, Winterthur have won 3 to Wil's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2024, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.94, favoring Wil. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Winterthur
40%
Draws
29%
Wil
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Winterthur haven't matched Wil's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 10%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winterthur Wil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Winterthur vs Wil
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Swiss Cup
Wil vs Winterthur
2:3
May 9, 2022 Challenge League
Wil vs Winterthur
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Wil
4:0
Dec 11, 2021 Challenge League
Wil vs Winterthur
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winterthur 30 / 100
Wil 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winterthur Wil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Winterthur found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Wil has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Winterthur remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Winterthur VS Wil
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Winterthur

(Home)
31 Jul
Kriens
2 : 0
Winterthur
24 Jul
Winterthur
2 : 2
Yverdon
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Union Berlin
14 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Bruhl SG
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2
Winterthur
Page 1 of 6

Wil

(Away)
31 Jul
Wil
1 : 2
Xamax
24 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
4 : 5
Wil
18 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Bruhl SG
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xamax 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
2 Etoile-Carouge 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Lausanne Ouchy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Kriens 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
5 Wil 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
6 Rapperswil-Jona 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
7 Yverdon 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
8 Winterthur 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
9 Aarau 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
10 Stade Nyonnais 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)