Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Winterthur vs Wil

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Seferovic T.
Own Goal
9' Event
Ottiger S.
Assist: Arnold R.
17'
Rupp N.

AI Match Summary

Winterthur in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Winterthur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Winterthur
35%
Draws
23%
Wil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Winterthur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Wil at 1.63 per game, Winterthur at 1.57.
  • Winterthur are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 14%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winterthur Wil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Wil
5:0
Oct 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Winterthur vs Wil
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Swiss Cup
Wil vs Winterthur
2:3
May 9, 2022 Challenge League
Wil vs Winterthur
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Wil
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Winterthur Compare

Top Goalscorer Ottiger S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kehrer E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Wil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winterthur 84 / 100
Wil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winterthur Wil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Winterthur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Winterthur scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Winterthur has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Wil conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Winterthur VS Wil
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Winterthur

(Home)
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1
Aarau
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Winterthur
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
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Wil

(Away)
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 8 6 2 0 17:3 20
2 Winterthur 9 5 3 1 19:8 18
3 Yverdon 8 4 3 1 14:9 15
4 Kriens 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
5 Aarau 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
6 Xamax 9 4 0 5 12:17 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 9 3 1 5 15:16 10
8 Etoile-Carouge 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Wil 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 9 0 2 7 6:23 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)