Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026

Chelmianka Chelm

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wislanie Skawina play Chelmianka Chelm in the III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wislanie Skawina averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Chelmianka Chelm averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Wislanie Skawina won 2, Chelmianka Chelm won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Wislanie Skawina and 2.00 for Chelmianka Chelm. This points to a Chelmianka Chelm double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Wislanie Skawina

32%

Draws

37%

Chelmianka Chelm

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Wislanie Skawina picked up more points recently compared to Chelmianka Chelm.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Wislanie Skawina Clean Sheet 10%

Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wislanie Skawina	Chelmianka Chelm
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	13	16
Draws	5	7
Losses	13	5
Goals Scored	1.58	1.89
Goals Conceded	1.45	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group IV

Wislanie Skawina vs Chelmianka Chelm

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Wislanie Skawina

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Wislanie Skawina vs Chelmianka Chelm

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 3 - 0

3:2

Nov 16, 2024 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Wislanie Skawina

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

May 4, 2024 III Liga - Group IV

Wislanie Skawina vs Chelmianka Chelm

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wislanie Skawina 30 / 100

Chelmianka Chelm 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wislanie Skawina Chelmianka Chelm

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chelmianka Chelm or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wislanie Skawina attacking → ← attacking Chelmianka Chelm

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wislanie Skawina scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Chelmianka Chelm let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Wislanie Skawina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chelmianka Chelm lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 55

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	34	23	8	3	84:35	77
2	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	22	8	4	66:30	74
3	Chelmianka Chelm	34	21	9	4	65:31	72
4	Korona Kielce II	34	18	4	12	66:59	58
5	Star Starachowice	34	15	10	9	51:43	55
6	Czarni Polaniec	34	16	5	13	59:49	53
7	Biala Podlaska	34	14	10	10	60:48	52
8	Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow	34	14	9	11	61:45	51
9	Wislanie Skawina	34	15	6	13	52:51	51
10	Wisla II	34	15	4	15	67:58	49
11	Wisloka Debica	34	12	12	10	37:35	48
12	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	11	10	13	59:52	43
13	Naprzod Jedrzejow	34	11	5	18	45:55	38
14	Kolbuszowa Dolna	34	11	4	19	36:54	37
15	Stal Krasnik	34	9	7	18	42:52	34
16	Cracovia II	34	9	6	19	44:71	33
17	Swidniczanka Swidnik	34	5	4	25	35:80	19
18	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	34	4	1	29	29:110	13