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WIT Georgia vs Merani Tbilisi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Shevardeni Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Shanidze L.

AI Match Summary

Merani Tbilisi in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
WIT Georgia
20%
Draws
52%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • WIT Georgia have won more games recently than Merani Tbilisi.
  • Merani Tbilisi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
WIT Georgia Clean Sheet 13%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric WIT Georgia Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Liga 3
WIT Georgia vs Merani Tbilisi
0:1
Oct 23, 2025 Liga 3
WIT Georgia vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1
May 22, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs WIT Georgia
1:4
Oct 6, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
WIT Georgia vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1
Aug 8, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs WIT Georgia
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

WIT Georgia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Shanidze L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

WIT Georgia 10 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
WIT Georgia Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

WIT Georgia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Merani Tbilisi let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: WIT Georgia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

WIT Georgia VS Merani Tbilisi
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

WIT Georgia

(Home)
17 Sept
Iberia 1999 2
3 : 0
WIT Georgia
09 Sept
WIT Georgia
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
03 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2
WIT Georgia
26 Aug
WIT Georgia
2 : 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
20 Aug
Khobi
3 : 2
WIT Georgia
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Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)