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WIT Georgia vs Samgurali

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
2 - 3
12:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Abakelia D.
61' Event
Claudio Cebolinha
106' Event
Dekanoidze D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
WIT Georgia
20%
Draws
40%
Samgurali
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and WIT Georgia come out ahead of Samgurali on wins alone.
  • WIT Georgia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • WIT Georgia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Samgurali, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
WIT Georgia Clean Sheet 18%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric WIT Georgia Samgurali
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.37
Goals Conceded 1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
WIT Georgia vs Samgurali
2:3
Nov 2, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs WIT Georgia
0:0
Oct 27, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs WIT Georgia
0:0
Aug 29, 2020 Georgian Cup
Samgurali vs WIT Georgia
3:0
Aug 28, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
WIT Georgia vs Samgurali
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

WIT Georgia Compare

Top Goalscorer Abakelia D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dekanoidze D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Samgurali Compare

Top Goalscorer Claudio Cebolinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

WIT Georgia 85 / 100
Samgurali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
WIT Georgia Samgurali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIT Georgia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: WIT Georgia scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Samgurali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

WIT Georgia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

WIT Georgia VS Samgurali
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

WIT Georgia

(Home)
26 Aug
WIT Georgia
2 : 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
20 Aug
Khobi
3 : 2
WIT Georgia
12 Aug
WIT Georgia
1 : 1
Margveti 2006
06 Aug
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
WIT Georgia
26 Jul
WIT Georgia
2 : 3
Samgurali
Page 1 of 6

Samgurali

(Away)
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
26 Aug
Dila Gori
2 : 1
Samgurali
22 Aug
Spaeri
3 : 4
Samgurali
16 Aug
Samgurali
0 : 4
Dinamo Batumi
09 Aug
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 2
Samgurali
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Samtredia -
Iberia 1999 -
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -