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Witbank vs Durban City Prediction & H2H Stats

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup 2018/2019
Sun, Jan 27, 2019
3 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sauls J.
21' Event
Zakri K.
24' Event
Zwane K.

AI Match Summary

Witbank in this Nedbank Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Witbank
20%
Draws
80%
Durban City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Durban City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Durban City have won more games recently than Witbank.
  • Durban City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Durban City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Witbank, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Witbank Clean Sheet 23%
Durban City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Witbank Durban City
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 Nedbank Cup
Witbank vs Durban City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Witbank Compare

Top Goalscorer Sauls J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zwane K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Durban City Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakri K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Witbank 10 / 100
Durban City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Witbank Durban City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Durban City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Durban City has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Witbank scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Durban City registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Durban City
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Witbank

(Home)
05 May
Witbank
0 : 4
Jomo Cosmos
28 Apr
Royal Eagles FC
3 : 0
Witbank
20 Apr
Ubuntu Cape Town FC
3 : 0
Witbank
13 Apr
Witbank
0 : 1
Mbombela
06 Apr
Cape Town Spurs
5 : 0
Witbank
Page 1 of 6

Durban City

(Away)
20 Sept
Milford
1 : 1
Durban City
17 Sept
Orlando Pirates
2 : 0
Durban City
13 Sept
Rukinzo
1 : 2
Durban City
06 Sept
Durban City
1 : 0
Rukinzo
01 Sept
Durban City
0 : 0
Stellenbosch FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Golden Arrows -
TBD -
TBD -
Tjakastad Junior Shepard -
Durban City -
TBD -
Uthongathi 0
Witbank 1
Richards Bay 1
Royal Eagles FC 0
TBD -
Free State Stars -
Super Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
Royal AM -
Cape Umoya United 2
TS Sporting 1
TBD -
Tshwane University -
NC Professionals -
TBD -
Stellenbosch FC 0
Mbombela 1
Jomo Cosmos 2
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 0
TBD -
Baroka -
Umvoti -
TBD -
Cape Town Spurs 2
TS Galaxy 5
Chippa Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Polokwane City -
TBD -
Ubuntu Cape Town FC 0
Marumo Gallants 3
Black Leopards -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando Pirates -
Boyne Tigers -
TBD -
TBD -
Bidvest Wits -
Cape Town City -
TBD -
TBD -
Supersport Utd -
AmaZulu -
TBD -
TBD -
Highlands -
The Magic FC -
TBD -
Pretoria U. 1
Swallows FC 2
Tornado FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
1/16-finals
Golden Arrows 3
Tjakastad Junior Shepard 0
Durban City 2
Witbank 3
Richards Bay 2
Free State Stars 1
Super Eagles 1
Royal AM 2
Cape Umoya United 2
Tshwane University 1
NC Professionals 1
Mbombela 2
Jomo Cosmos 1
Baroka 0
Umvoti 1
TS Galaxy 3
Chippa Utd. 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 1
Polokwane City 1
Marumo Gallants 2
Black Leopards 2
Orlando Pirates 1
Boyne Tigers 0
Bidvest Wits 4
Cape Town City 2
Supersport Utd 0
AmaZulu 1
Highlands 2
The Magic FC 1
Swallows FC 0
Tornado FC 0
Kaizer Chiefs 1
1/8-finals
Golden Arrows 2
Witbank 1
Richards Bay 0
Royal AM 1
Cape Umoya United 1
Mbombela 0
Jomo Cosmos 0
TS Galaxy 1
Chippa Utd. 2
Marumo Gallants 0
Black Leopards 1
Bidvest Wits 2
Cape Town City 3
Highlands 0
The Magic FC 0
Kaizer Chiefs 3
Quarter-finals
Golden Arrows 2
Royal AM 1
Cape Umoya United 1
TS Galaxy 2
Chippa Utd. 5
Bidvest Wits 4
Cape Town City 0
Kaizer Chiefs 2
Semi-finals
Golden Arrows 1
TS Galaxy 3
Chippa Utd. 2
Kaizer Chiefs 4
Final
TS Galaxy 1
Kaizer Chiefs 0