Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Woking vs Southampton U21

England England

National League Cup Kingfield Stadium, Woking
Tue, Sep 8, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Southampton U21 have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Woking have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.37. Past meetings favor Woking slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.09 - 1.37) back Woking to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Woking
15%
Draws
59%
Southampton U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southampton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Woking haven't matched Southampton U21's recent run of results.
  • Southampton U21 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Southampton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Woking, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Woking Clean Sheet 17%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Woking Southampton U21
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Woking vs Southampton U21
2:1
Nov 5, 2024 National League Cup
Woking vs Southampton U21
5:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Woking 12 / 100
Southampton U21 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Woking Southampton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Woking's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Solid form: Woking remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Woking VS Southampton U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.86
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Woking

(Home)
22 Aug
Woking
3 : 2
AFC Fylde
18 Aug
Woking
0 : 1
West Brom U21
15 Aug
Gateshead
2 : 0
Woking
08 Aug
Woking
0 : 3
Sutton
25 Jul
Woking
0 : 2
Reading
Page 1 of 6

Southampton U21

(Away)
21 Aug
West Ham U21
0 : 0
Southampton U21
18 Aug
Truro
2 : 1
Southampton U21
14 Aug
Southampton U21
4 : 0
Blackburn U21
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2
Southampton U21
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 Scunthorpe 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Wolves U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Gateshead 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
6 Wealdstone 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
8 Stoke City U21 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norwich U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 West Ham U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Fulham U21 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
4 Ipswich U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Aldershot 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
6 Braintree 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
7 Hornchurch 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Worthing FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 2 2 0 0 13:1 6
2 Boreham Wood 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 Tamworth 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
4 Everton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Newcastle Utd U21 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
6 Solihull Moors 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Leeds U21 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
8 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham U21 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Truro 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Sutton 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
4 West Brom U21 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
5 Woking 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
6 Leicester U21 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
7 Boston United 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
8 Southampton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)