Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal 2025/2026 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg Logo

Wolfsburg

0 - 1
FT
Holstein Kiel Logo

Holstein Kiel

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Zehnter A.
18'
Komenda M.
24'
Zec D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Holstein Kiel in this DFB Pokal 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Wolfsburg
30%
Draws
23%
Holstein Kiel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wolfsburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Holstein Kiel have won more games recently than Wolfsburg.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Wolfsburg taking it.
  • Holstein Kiel arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Holstein Kiel, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 19%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wolfsburg Holstein Kiel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 DFB Pokal
Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel
0:1
Jan 24, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Wolfsburg
0:2
Jul 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel
0:1
Aug 22, 2020 Club Friendly
Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wolfsburg 85 / 100
Holstein Kiel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wolfsburg Holstein Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wolfsburg's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Holstein Kiel let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Wolfsburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wolfsburg VS Holstein Kiel
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wolfsburg

(Home)
08 Aug
Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Kaiserslautern
31 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 1
Telstar
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2
Lyon
18 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 0
Verl
11 Jul
Schoningen
2 : 8
Wolfsburg
Page 1 of 6

Holstein Kiel

(Away)
08 Aug
Darmstadt
2 : 2
Holstein Kiel
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1
Holstein Kiel
25 Jul
Mainz
3 : 0
Holstein Kiel
18 Jul
Swansea
2 : 2
Holstein Kiel
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0