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Wolfsburg vs Lyon

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Fischer K.
60'
Gerhardt Y.
61'
Sub
Glatzel R. In: Besio A.
Out: Glatzel R.

AI Match Summary

Lyon in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lyon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Wolfsburg
15%
Draws
32%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wolfsburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Wolfsburg haven't matched Lyon's recent run of results.
  • Wolfsburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Lyon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 16%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wolfsburg Lyon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Wolfsburg vs Lyon
0:2
Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Lyon vs Wolfsburg
4:1
Jul 28, 2018 Club Friendly
Lyon vs Wolfsburg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wolfsburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lyon Compare

Top Goalscorer Maitland-Niles A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wolfsburg 84 / 100
Lyon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wolfsburg Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wolfsburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Wolfsburg scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Lyon conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Wolfsburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wolfsburg VS Lyon
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wolfsburg

(Home)
08 Aug
Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Kaiserslautern
31 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 1
Telstar
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2
Lyon
18 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 0
Verl
11 Jul
Schoningen
2 : 8
Wolfsburg
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Lyon

(Away)
11 Aug
Lyon
3 : 0
Sparta Prague
04 Aug
Sparta Prague
2 : 1
Lyon
29 Jul
Betis
4 : 0
Lyon
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2
Lyon
18 Jul
Slavia Prague
2 : 0
Lyon
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