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Stadium Background

Wolfsburg W vs OL Lyonnes W

Europe Europe

Champions League Women 2025/2026 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg W Logo

Wolfsburg W

1 - 0
FT
OL Lyonnes W Logo

OL Lyonnes W

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Beerensteyn L.
Assist: Endemann V.
60'
Sub
Heaps L. In: Shrader K.
Out: Heaps L.
60'
Sub
Diani K. In: Brand J.
Out: Diani K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wolfsburg W in this Champions League Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Wolfsburg W
15%
Draws
39%
OL Lyonnes W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wolfsburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to OL Lyonnes W lately — more wins on the board than Wolfsburg W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • OL Lyonnes W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor OL Lyonnes W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and OL Lyonnes W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Wolfsburg W Clean Sheet 10%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wolfsburg W OL Lyonnes W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.04 3.03
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Champions League Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Wolfsburg W
4:0
Mar 24, 2026 Champions League Women
Wolfsburg W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:0
Nov 11, 2025 Champions League Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Wolfsburg W
3:1
Dec 17, 2024 Champions League Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Wolfsburg W
1:0
Oct 17, 2024 Champions League Women
Wolfsburg W vs OL Lyonnes W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wolfsburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Beerensteyn L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

OL Lyonnes W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wolfsburg W 30 / 100
OL Lyonnes W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wolfsburg W OL Lyonnes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wolfsburg W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Wolfsburg W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

OL Lyonnes W has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wolfsburg W VS OL Lyonnes W
2.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wolfsburg W

(Home)
30 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen W
1 : 2
Wolfsburg W
26 Aug
Wolfsburg W
2 : 0
Inter W
22 Aug
1.FC Nurnberg W
2 : 8
Wolfsburg W
15 Aug
Bayern Munich W
3 : 0
Wolfsburg W
09 Aug
Werder Bremen W
1 : 2
Wolfsburg W
Page 1 of 6

OL Lyonnes W

(Away)
29 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
4 : 0
London City Lionesses W
21 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
3 : 1
Aston Villa W
16 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
1 : 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W
08 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
1 : 1
Real Sociedad W
29 May
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Paris FC W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atl. Madrid W 0
Manchester United W 5
TBD -
Bayern Munich W -
Paris FC W 2
Real Madrid W 5
TBD -
Barcelona W -
Leuven W 1
Arsenal W 7
TBD -
Chelsea W -
Wolfsburg W 4
Juventus W 2
TBD -
OL Lyonnes W -
Quarter-finals
Manchester United W 3
Bayern Munich W 5
Real Madrid W 2
Barcelona W 12
Arsenal W 3
Chelsea W 2
Wolfsburg W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4
Semi-finals
Bayern Munich W 3
Barcelona W 5
Arsenal W 3
OL Lyonnes W 4
Final
Barcelona W 4
OL Lyonnes W 0