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Woliborz vs Carina Gubin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Zyrek H.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Woliborz and Carina Gubin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Woliborz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Woliborz
20%
Draws
38%
Carina Gubin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Woliborz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Woliborz come out ahead of Carina Gubin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Woliborz's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Woliborz Clean Sheet 17%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Woliborz Carina Gubin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Woliborz vs Carina Gubin
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Woliborz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Woliborz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zyrek H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Carina Gubin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Woliborz 41 / 100
Carina Gubin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Woliborz Carina Gubin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Woliborz scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Carina Gubin let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Woliborz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Woliborz VS Carina Gubin
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Woliborz

(Home)
08 Jul
Woliborz
3 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
30 May
Woliborz
2 : 1
Skra Czestochowa
23 May
Stal Jasien
0 : 3
Woliborz
16 May
Sleza Wroclaw
2 : 0
Woliborz
13 May
Woliborz
2 : 2
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
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Carina Gubin

(Away)
15 Jul
Zielona Gora
2 : 3
Carina Gubin
11 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Carina Gubin
30 May
Carina Gubin
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
23 May
Starowice Dolne
0 : 2
Carina Gubin
16 May
Carina Gubin
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)