Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wollongong vs Blacktown City

Australia Australia

NPL NSW WIN Stadium, Wollongong
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mallia M.
29'
Yamamura K.
30' Event
Kuol A.

AI Match Summary

Blacktown City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blacktown City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Wollongong
6%
Draws
90%
Blacktown City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Blacktown City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Blacktown City haven't matched Wollongong's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Blacktown City a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 15%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wollongong Blacktown City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Blacktown City
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Wollongong
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Wollongong
1:0
May 17, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Blacktown City
0:1
Jun 15, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Blacktown City
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wollongong Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Blacktown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mallia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kuol A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wollongong 10 / 100
Blacktown City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wollongong Blacktown City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wollongong scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Blacktown City let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Wollongong stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wollongong VS Blacktown City
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wollongong

(Home)
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2
Blacktown City
18 Jul
Wollongong
2 : 3
SD Raiders
11 Jul
Sydney Olympic
3 : 2
Wollongong
05 Jul
Wollongong
3 : 3
St. George City
27 Jun
NWS Spirit
2 : 0
Wollongong
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Blacktown City

(Away)
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2
Blacktown City
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0
St. George City
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3
Blacktown City
05 Jul
Blacktown City
0 : 0
Sydney Utd
28 Jun
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0
Blacktown City
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)