Sport Picks
Wollongong vs Blacktown City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW WIN Stadium, Wollongong 
Match Events
6'
6'
Mallia M.
29'
29'
Yamamura K.
30'
30'
Kuol A.
AI Match Summary
Blacktown City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blacktown City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wollongong
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Blacktown City haven't matched Wollongong's recent run of results.
- Model gives Wollongong a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 10%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wollongong | Blacktown City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Blacktown City
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Wollongong
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Wollongong
1:0
May 17, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Blacktown City
0:1
Jun 15, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Blacktown City
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wollongong Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Blacktown City Compare
Top Goalscorer Mallia M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kuol A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wollongong 34 / 100
Blacktown City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wollongong Blacktown City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wollongong scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Blacktown City let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Blacktown City's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Wollongong VS Blacktown City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wollongong
(Home) 30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2 Blacktown City
18 Jul
Wollongong
2 : 3 SD Raiders
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Blacktown City
(Away) 30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0 UNSW
08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 Blacktown City
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
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22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 Blacktown City
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2 Blacktown City
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3 Blacktown City
28 Jun
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0 Blacktown City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
