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Wollongong vs Queensland Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australian Championship WIN Stadium, Wollongong
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wollongong host Queensland Lions in the Australian Championship. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Wollongong have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Queensland Lions's 2.54 scored and 0.96 conceded. Head-to-head, Wollongong have won 1 to Queensland Lions's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2019, ending 4:3. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 2.13, favoring Queensland Lions. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Wollongong
15%
Draws
49%
Queensland Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Queensland Lions come out ahead of Wollongong on wins alone.
  • Model gives Queensland Lions a 49% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Australian Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wollongong Queensland Lions
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 14 22
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.31 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2019 NPL Tasmania
Wollongong vs Queensland Lions
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wollongong 18 / 100
Queensland Lions 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wollongong Queensland Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Wollongong's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Wollongong stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Queensland Lions conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Wollongong VS Queensland Lions
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wollongong

(Home)
15 Oct
Preston Lions
0 : 1
Wollongong
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2
Wollongong
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 7

Queensland Lions

(Away)
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0
North Sunshine Eagles
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2
Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Melbourne 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Sydney Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Canberra Croatia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sutherland Sharks 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avondale FC 1 1 0 0 3:2 2
2 Broadmeadow Magic FC 1 1 0 0 1:0 2
3 Adelaide City 1 0 0 1 2:3 1
4 Wests APIA 1 0 0 1 0:1 1
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
2 Bayswater 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Sydney Olympic 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
4 Marconi Stallions 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wollongong 1 1 0 0 1:0 2
2 Preston Lions 1 0 0 1 0:1 1
3 Queensland Lions 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 South Hobart 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)