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Stadium Background

Wollongong vs St George Saints

Australia Australia

NPL NSW WIN Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Masciovecchio A.
57' Event
Hernandez S.

AI Match Summary

Wollongong in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wollongong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wollongong
6%
Draws
4%
St George Saints
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wollongong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wollongong have won more games recently than St George Saints.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Wollongong taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 17%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wollongong St George Saints
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs St George Saints
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Wollongong
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs St George Saints
2:1
Mar 21, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Wollongong
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs St George Saints
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wollongong Compare

Top Goalscorer Masciovecchio A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

St George Saints Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wollongong 84 / 100
St George Saints 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wollongong St George Saints

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: St George Saints registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Wollongong scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

St George Saints has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Wollongong VS St George Saints
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt24173452:3054
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden24123942:3339
5Sutherland Sharks241131037:3136
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong24951028:3232
8UNSW24941135:3631
9NWS Spirit24941128:3031
10Manly Utd2487925:2931
11Western Sydney Wanderers U2124851145:3929
12SD Raiders24851133:4129
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints24611723:4519
16Sydney Olympic24541526:5019