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Stadium Background

Wollongong vs St George Saints

Australia Australia

NPL NSW WIN Stadium, Wollongong
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Masciovecchio A.
57' Event
Hernandez S.

AI Match Summary

Wollongong in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wollongong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Wollongong
15%
Draws
53%
St George Saints
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St George Saints

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Wollongong have won more games recently than St George Saints.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 16%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wollongong St George Saints
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs St George Saints
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Wollongong
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs St George Saints
2:1
Mar 21, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Wollongong
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs St George Saints
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wollongong Compare

Top Goalscorer Masciovecchio A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

St George Saints Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wollongong 31 / 100
St George Saints 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wollongong St George Saints

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wollongong scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

St George Saints let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Wollongong went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wollongong VS St George Saints
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wollongong

(Home)
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2
Wollongong
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
Wollongong
Page 1 of 6

St George Saints

(Away)
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1
Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0
St George Saints
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0
Blacktown City
15 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1 : 2
St George Saints
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)