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Worcester vs Stourbridge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Worcester host Stourbridge in the Southern League Premier Central. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Stourbridge have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Worcester have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.11. Head-to-head, Worcester have won 1 to Stourbridge's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 18, 2025, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.00, favoring Worcester. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Worcester
35%
Draws
25%
Stourbridge
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Worcester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stourbridge come out ahead of Worcester on wins alone.
  • Worcester are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Worcester Clean Sheet 20%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worcester Stourbridge
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs Stourbridge
3:2
Sep 10, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Worcester
2:2
Jul 31, 2018 Club Friendly
Worcester vs Stourbridge
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worcester 40 / 100
Stourbridge 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worcester Stourbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worcester Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stourbridge let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Worcester's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Worcester has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Worcester VS Stourbridge
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Worcester

(Home)
03 Oct
Kettering
1 : 3
Worcester
29 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
2 : 2
Worcester
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2
Leek Town
22 Sept
Worcester
0 : 0
Banbury
18 Sept
Worcester
2 : 1
Stratford
Page 1 of 6

Stourbridge

(Away)
03 Oct
Stourbridge
0 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0
Stourbridge
26 Sept
Rushall
1 : 3
Stourbridge
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4
Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)