Sport Picks
Workington vs Guiseley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
17'
17'
Martin A.
32'
32'
Wilson C.
(Penalty)
68'
68'
Douglas M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guiseley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guiseley lately — more wins on the board than Workington.
- Guiseley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Workington | Guiseley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Guiseley
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Workington
1:1
Nov 18, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Guiseley
0:1
Jan 4, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Guiseley
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Workington
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Douglas M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hunter L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Guiseley Compare
Top Goalscorer Martin A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Workington 10 / 100
Guiseley 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Workington Guiseley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guiseley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Workington scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Guiseley conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Workington remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Workington VS Guiseley
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Workington
(Home) 17 Oct
Bamber Bridge
1 : 2 Workington
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0 Workington
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0 Marske United
Page 1 of 3
Guiseley
(Away) 20 Oct
Guiseley
2 : 1 Cleethorpes
17 Oct
Leiston
0 : 3 Guiseley
10 Oct
Avro
0 : 1 Guiseley
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Guiseley
03 Oct
Guiseley
1 : 0 Bradford PA
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Leiston
0 : 3 Guiseley
10 Oct
Avro
0 : 1 Guiseley
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Guiseley
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0 Guiseley
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4 Guiseley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 37:27 | 28 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 29:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 7 | Warrington Town | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:28 | 20 |
| 12 | Bury FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:33 | 19 |
| 14 | Hyde | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | 15 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 16 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 17 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Emley | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:26 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18:28 | 12 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:34 | 10 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10:34 | 10 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15:23 | 7 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
