Sport Picks
Workington vs Whitby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
45'
45'
Rose S.
57'
57'
Grant M.
85'
85'
Hunter L.
AI Match Summary
Whitby in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Whitby.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Workington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Workington lately — more wins on the board than Whitby.
- Model gives Workington a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Workington Clean Sheet 13%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Workington | Whitby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 13, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Whitby
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Workington
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Whitby
1:2
Jan 25, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Workington
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Whitby
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Hunter L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Whitby Compare
Top Goalscorer Rose S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Grant M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Workington 66 / 100
Whitby 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Workington Whitby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Workington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Whitby has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Attacking prowess: Workington scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Workington has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Workington VS Whitby
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Workington
(Home) 13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0 Workington
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3 Workington
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0 Marske United
Page 1 of 3
Whitby
(Away) 13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
10 Oct
Whitby
0 : 0 Bamber Bridge
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
26 Sept
Bridlington Town
3 : 0 Whitby
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
26 Sept
Bridlington Town
3 : 0 Whitby
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3 Whitby
29 Aug
Quorn
3 : 6 Whitby
25 Aug
Cleethorpes
6 : 0 Whitby
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 31:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30:7 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34:23 | 25 |
| 5 | Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | 23 |
| 6 | Gainsborough | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24:16 | 22 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:18 | 22 |
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Lancaster | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:26 | 20 |
| 11 | Bury FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 12 | Alfreton | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19:33 | 16 |
| 14 | Hyde | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 16 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | 14 |
| 17 | Stockton | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | 11 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:25 | 11 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16:32 | 10 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15:23 | 7 |
| 22 | Ilkeston | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8:34 | 7 |
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