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Worthing FC vs Boreham Wood - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Coleman De-Graft R.
56'
Rush M.
58'
Booty R.

AI Match Summary

Boreham Wood in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boreham Wood.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Worthing FC
15%
Draws
41%
Boreham Wood
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Worthing FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Boreham Wood have won more games recently than Worthing FC.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Worthing FC taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 14%
Boreham Wood Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC Boreham Wood
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 23
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 2.04 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 National League
Worthing FC vs Boreham Wood
2:3
Jan 28, 2025 National League South
Worthing FC vs Boreham Wood
2:1
Sep 2, 2024 National League South
Boreham Wood vs Worthing FC
1:2
Mar 3, 2007 Isthmian League Premier Division
Boreham Wood vs Worthing FC
3:2
Sep 23, 2006 Isthmian League Premier Division
Worthing FC vs Boreham Wood
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worthing FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Coleman De-Graft R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Boreham Wood Compare

Top Goalscorer Cashman D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rush M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC 35 / 100
Boreham Wood 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC Boreham Wood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Worthing FC scored in 96% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Worthing FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Boreham Wood has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Worthing FC VS Boreham Wood
2 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Worthing FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Worthing FC
5 : 0
Solihull Moors
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2
Worthing FC
29 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 1
Worthing FC
26 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Halifax
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

Boreham Wood

(Away)
09 Oct
Sutton
0 : 2
Boreham Wood
03 Oct
Boreham Wood
3 : 1
Altrincham
29 Sept
Boreham Wood
3 : 1
Kidderminster
26 Sept
Solihull Moors
0 : 3
Boreham Wood
23 Sept
Boreham Wood
1 : 2
Everton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 13 11 2 0 34:13 35
2 Harrogate 13 9 1 3 29:17 28
3 Southend 13 8 3 2 31:19 27
4 Yeovil 13 7 4 2 32:15 25
5 Worthing FC 13 7 3 3 27:18 24
6 Altrincham 13 8 0 5 20:19 24
7 AFC Fylde 13 7 2 4 24:18 23
8 Barrow 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
9 Hornchurch 13 7 0 6 15:19 21
10 Halifax 13 6 2 5 22:15 20
11 Kidderminster 13 5 5 3 15:12 20
12 Aldershot 13 5 3 5 18:16 18
13 Sutton 13 5 3 5 14:18 18
14 Carlisle 13 4 5 4 23:20 17
15 Woking 13 4 3 6 20:20 15
16 Forest Green 12 4 3 5 19:22 15
17 Eastleigh 13 4 3 6 14:20 15
18 Tamworth 13 4 2 7 21:30 14
19 Wealdstone 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
20 Hartlepool 13 4 0 9 12:19 12
21 Boston United 13 3 3 7 15:23 12
22 Scunthorpe 12 3 1 8 15:21 10
23 Solihull Moors 13 2 1 10 13:35 7
24 Gateshead 13 1 1 11 8:31 4
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