Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Worthing FC vs Eastbourne Borough

England England

National League South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Worthing FC play Eastbourne Borough in the National League South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Worthing FC averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Eastbourne Borough averaged 1.65 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. In past meetings, Worthing FC won 3, Eastbourne Borough won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Worthing FC and 1.06 for Eastbourne Borough. This points to a Worthing FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Worthing FC
22%
Draws
24%
Eastbourne Borough
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Worthing FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Worthing FC picked up more points recently compared to Eastbourne Borough.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 22%
Eastbourne Borough Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC Eastbourne Borough
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.17 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 National League South
Worthing FC vs Eastbourne Borough
2:1
Dec 26, 2025 National League South
Eastbourne Borough vs Worthing FC
0:3
Apr 18, 2025 National League South
Eastbourne Borough vs Worthing FC
1:1
Jan 1, 2025 National League South
Worthing FC vs Eastbourne Borough
0:0
Jan 1, 2024 National League South
Eastbourne Borough vs Worthing FC
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worthing FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Coleman De-Graft R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cook J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Eastbourne Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer May A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC 53 / 100
Eastbourne Borough 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC Eastbourne Borough

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worthing FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Worthing FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Worthing FC attacking → ← attacking Eastbourne Borough

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worthing FC scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Eastbourne Borough let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Worthing FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Eastbourne Borough lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 27
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036