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Worthing FC vs Forest Green Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jenks T.
46'
Sub
Berry J. In: Kengni N.
Out: Berry J.
46'
Sub
Patrick O. In: Rees R.
Out: Patrick O.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Worthing FC and Forest Green finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forest Green.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Worthing FC
30%
Draws
31%
Forest Green
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Worthing FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Worthing FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Worthing FC a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Forest Green here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 16%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC Forest Green
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League
Worthing FC vs Forest Green
1:2
Oct 13, 2025 FA Cup
Worthing FC vs Forest Green
1:4
Aug 1, 2017 Club Friendly
Worthing FC vs Forest Green
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worthing FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenks T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Forest Green Compare

Top Goalscorer Osude J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rees R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC 39 / 100
Forest Green 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC Forest Green

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worthing FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worthing FC's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Forest Green's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Worthing FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Worthing FC VS Forest Green
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Worthing FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Halifax
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
15 Sept
Worthing FC
1 : 0
Hornchurch
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2
Barrow
08 Sept
Worthing FC
0 : 1
Norwich U21
Page 1 of 6

Forest Green

(Away)
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1
Forest Green
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 10 8 2 0 26:11 26
2 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
3 AFC Fylde 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Harrogate 10 6 1 3 24:17 19
5 Aldershot 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
6 Yeovil 10 5 3 2 19:14 18
7 Kidderminster 10 5 3 2 13:8 18
8 Altrincham 10 6 0 4 15:15 18
9 Worthing FC 10 5 2 3 19:16 17
10 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
11 Hornchurch 10 5 0 5 11:15 15
12 Forest Green 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
14 Halifax 10 4 1 5 15:13 13
15 Woking 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
16 Barrow 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
17 Wealdstone 10 3 2 5 15:15 11
18 Boston United 10 3 2 5 13:14 11
19 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 18:19 10
20 Scunthorpe 10 3 1 6 15:16 10
21 Hartlepool 10 3 0 7 8:15 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 10 1 1 8 9:26 4
24 Gateshead 10 1 1 8 6:24 4
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