Sport Picks
Worthing FC vs Hornchurch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing 
Match Events
6'
6'
Aguiar R.
Assist: Kendall C.
45'
45'
Sandat H.
46'
46'
Sub
Hearn H. In: Walker J.
Out: Hearn H.
AI Match Summary
Worthing FC in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Worthing FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Worthing FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hornchurch have won more games recently than Worthing FC.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Worthing FC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 20%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Worthing FC | Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 National League
Worthing FC vs Hornchurch
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 National League South
Hornchurch vs Worthing FC
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 National League South
Worthing FC vs Hornchurch
5:0
Mar 25, 2025 National League South
Hornchurch vs Worthing FC
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 National League South
Worthing FC vs Hornchurch
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Worthing FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguiar R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Hornchurch Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Worthing FC 85 / 100
Hornchurch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Worthing FC Hornchurch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Worthing FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Worthing FC found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (27 games).
Worthing FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Hornchurch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Worthing FC VS Hornchurch
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Worthing FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Worthing FC
5 : 0 Solihull Moors
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2 Worthing FC
29 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 1 Worthing FC
26 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 1 Halifax
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3 Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Worthing FC
5 : 0 Solihull Moors
26 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 1 Halifax
15 Sept
Worthing FC
1 : 0 Hornchurch
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2 Barrow
08 Sept
Worthing FC
0 : 1 Norwich U21
Page 1 of 3
Hornchurch
(Away) 10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0 Eastleigh
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Fulham U21
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
15 Sept
Worthing FC
1 : 0 Hornchurch
12 Sept
Halifax
3 : 0 Hornchurch
31 Aug
Boston United
2 : 3 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34:13 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31:19 | 27 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27:18 | 24 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20:19 | 24 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | 23 |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 21 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 15:19 | 21 |
| 10 | Halifax | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Kidderminster | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 12 | Aldershot | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 18 |
| 13 | Sutton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23:20 | 17 |
| 15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:22 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:30 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 21 | Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:23 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13:35 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8:31 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
