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Worthing FC vs Ipswich U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sutton E.
23'
Compton C.
23'
Doherty R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Worthing FC
20%
Draws
33%
Ipswich U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Worthing FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Worthing FC lately — more wins on the board than Ipswich U21.
  • Win probability leans Worthing FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Worthing FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ipswich U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 16%
Ipswich U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC Ipswich U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2026 National League Cup
Worthing FC vs Ipswich U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worthing FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sutton E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ipswich U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolaou S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fletcher L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC 84 / 100
Ipswich U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC Ipswich U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worthing FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worthing FC's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ipswich U21 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Worthing FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Worthing FC VS Ipswich U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Worthing FC

(Home)
13 Oct
Worthing FC
1 : 2
Ipswich U21
10 Oct
Worthing FC
5 : 0
Solihull Moors
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2
Worthing FC
29 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 1
Worthing FC
26 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

Ipswich U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Worthing FC
1 : 2
Ipswich U21
09 Oct
Ipswich U21
2 : 2
West Brom U21
06 Oct
Peterborough
4 : 1
Ipswich U21
22 Sept
Luton
6 : 0
Ipswich U21
15 Sept
Bromley U21
2 : 4
Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Scunthorpe 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
3 Wolves U21 3 2 0 1 3:4 5
4 Derby U21 3 1 0 2 7:9 4
5 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 3 0 0 3 2:4 2
8 Stoke City U21 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Norwich U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Ipswich U21 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
4 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
5 Aldershot 3 1 0 2 7:8 4
6 Braintree 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
7 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
8 Worthing FC 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
5 Everton U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
8 Hartlepool 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Woking 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Sutton 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 West Brom U21 3 2 0 1 3:3 5
5 Birmingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 5
6 Southampton U21 3 1 0 2 8:11 3
7 Leicester U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 2
8 Boston United 3 0 0 3 7:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)