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Worthing FC vs West Ham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing
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Match Events

27' Event
Moulton R.
Assist: Marquez J.
46'
Sub
Colbran J. In: Beck C.
Out: Colbran J.
46'
Sub
Adjetey-Brew C. In: Spicer O.
Out: Adjetey-Brew C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Worthing FC
20%
Draws
35%
West Ham U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Worthing FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Worthing FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Worthing FC taking it.
  • Worthing FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor West Ham U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 20%
West Ham U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC West Ham U21
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.04 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Worthing FC vs West Ham U21
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Worthing FC vs West Ham U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worthing FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Moulton R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

West Ham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Landers J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Battrum R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC 67 / 100
West Ham U21 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC West Ham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worthing FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worthing FC scored in 96% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Worthing FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

West Ham U21 let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Worthing FC VS West Ham U21
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Worthing FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Worthing FC
5 : 0
Solihull Moors
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2
Worthing FC
29 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 1
Worthing FC
26 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Halifax
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

West Ham U21

(Away)
09 Oct
Millwall U21
1 : 0
West Ham U21
23 Sept
West Ham U21
2 : 0
Valencia B
18 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 0
West Ham U21
14 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 0
Liverpool U21
08 Sept
Aldershot
0 : 3
West Ham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 2 2 0 0 9:2 6
2 Scunthorpe 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
4 Wolves U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
5 Derby U21 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
8 Stoke City U21 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Norwich U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
3 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
4 Braintree 2 1 0 1 3:2 4
5 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
6 Ipswich U21 2 1 0 1 1:4 2
7 Worthing FC 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
8 Aldershot 2 0 0 2 2:5 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Everton U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
5 Solihull Moors 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
6 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
7 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 5:9 0
8 Hartlepool 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Birmingham U21 2 2 0 0 4:3 5
3 West Brom U21 2 2 0 0 1:0 5
4 Woking 2 1 0 1 4:1 4
5 Sutton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
6 Leicester U21 2 0 0 2 1:4 1
7 Boston United 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
8 Southampton U21 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)