Sport Picks
Wrexham vs Portsmouth
England
Championship 2025/2026 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham 
Match Events
23'
23'
Smith S.
Assist: Doyle C.
30'
30'
Poole R.
39'
39'
Cleworth M.
Assist: Dobson G.
AI Match Summary
Wrexham in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wrexham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portsmouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Wrexham have won more games recently than Portsmouth.
- Win probability leans Wrexham's way, sitting at 36%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 20%
Portsmouth Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wrexham | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Portsmouth
2:1
Nov 5, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Wrexham
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cleworth M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Portsmouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Swanson Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wrexham 36 / 100
Portsmouth 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wrexham Portsmouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portsmouth has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Wrexham found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Wrexham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wrexham VS Portsmouth
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wrexham
(Home) 22 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 1 Watford
17 Aug
Cardiff
1 : 1 Wrexham
07 Aug
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wrexham
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 1 Watford
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
18 Apr
Wrexham
2 : 0 Stoke City
Page 1 of 3
Portsmouth
(Away) 22 Aug
Lincoln City
1 : 3 Portsmouth
15 Aug
Portsmouth
1 : 3 QPR
08 Aug
West Ham
3 : 1 Portsmouth
01 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 0 Portsmouth
29 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 1 Portsmouth
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Lincoln City
1 : 3 Portsmouth
08 Aug
West Ham
3 : 1 Portsmouth
01 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 0 Portsmouth
29 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 1 Portsmouth
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 1 Portsmouth
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
