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Wrexham vs Preston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wrexham host Preston in the Championship. This one's hard to separate. Preston have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Wrexham have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Wrexham slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 29, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.19) point toward Wrexham. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Wrexham
35%
Draws
26%
Preston
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wrexham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wrexham lately — more wins on the board than Preston.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 20%
Preston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham Preston
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 29, 2025 Championship
Wrexham vs Preston
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Championship
Preston vs Wrexham
1:1
Aug 26, 2025 EFL Cup
Preston vs Wrexham
2:3
Mar 25, 2000 League One
Preston vs Wrexham
1:0
Dec 26, 1999 League One
Wrexham vs Preston
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham 32 / 100
Preston 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham Preston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Preston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 29 matches.

Wrexham's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Wrexham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham VS Preston
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham

(Home)
10 Oct
Derby
1 : 1
Wrexham
19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1
Southampton
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
Page 1 of 6

Preston

(Away)
10 Oct
Preston
0 : 1
Millwall
19 Sept
QPR
2 : 2
Preston
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1
Lincoln City
08 Sept
Watford
2 : 1
Preston
05 Sept
Preston
2 : 1
Blackburn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 7 2 1 16:7 23
2 Middlesbrough 10 6 3 1 20:14 21
3 Birmingham 10 4 5 1 17:11 17
4 West Brom 10 5 2 3 12:10 17
5 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23:12 16
6 Stoke City 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
7 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 15:13 15
8 QPR 9 3 5 1 11:8 14
9 Wolves 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
10 Millwall 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
12 Charlton 10 3 5 2 10:13 14
13 Southampton 9 5 2 2 20:10 13
14 Bolton 10 4 1 5 15:18 13
15 Sheffield Utd 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
16 Wrexham 10 2 5 3 11:15 11
17 Lincoln City 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
18 Cardiff 10 2 4 4 16:15 10
19 Norwich 9 3 0 6 17:19 9
20 Portsmouth 8 2 2 4 9:11 8
21 Burnley 10 1 5 4 15:19 8
22 Watford 10 2 2 6 8:19 8
23 Derby 9 1 3 5 8:15 6
24 Preston 10 1 1 8 8:20 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)