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Wrexham W vs Cardiff City W

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Cook M.
45' Event
Barker K.
48' Event
Barker K.

AI Match Summary

Wrexham W in this Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wrexham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Wrexham W
15%
Draws
31%
Cardiff City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wrexham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Wrexham W have won more games recently than Cardiff City W.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Wrexham W taking it.
  • Regular Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Wrexham W Clean Sheet 12%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham W Cardiff City W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 22 18
Draws 1 4
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 3.64 2.93
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Wrexham W
2:4
Mar 29, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Cardiff City W
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Wrexham W
1:3
Jan 4, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Wrexham W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Cardiff City W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wrexham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Barker K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hillier-Knox F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Cardiff City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cook M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham W 83 / 100
Cardiff City W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham W Cardiff City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wrexham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wrexham W's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Cardiff City W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Wrexham W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham W VS Cardiff City W
4 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham W

(Home)
27 Sept
Briton Ferry W
1 : 8
Wrexham W
20 Sept
Wrexham W
7 : 0
Barry Town W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
25 Jul
Riga FC W
4 : 1
Wrexham W
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Cardiff City W

(Away)
27 Sept
Barry Town W
1 : 4
Cardiff City W
20 Sept
Cardiff City W
3 : 2
Briton Ferry W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff City W
09 Aug
Cardiff City W
3 : 3
Torquay W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wrexham W 20 16 1 3 70:26 49
2 Cardiff City W 20 14 3 3 65:24 45
3 Swansea W 20 12 0 8 58:35 36
4 TNS W 20 8 3 9 40:38 27
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)