Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan

China China

FA Cup Wuhan Sports Centre, Wuhan
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
2 - 3
11:35 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Long Wei
Assist: Xu Haofeng
34' Event
Adriano Firmino
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Xu Haofeng In: Ming Tian
Out: Xu Haofeng

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Shandong Taishan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Wuhan Three Towns
33%
Draws
27%
Shandong Taishan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Wuhan Three Towns

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Wuhan Three Towns haven't matched Shandong Taishan's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Wuhan Three Towns taking it.
  • Shandong Taishan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shandong Taishan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Wuhan Three Towns Clean Sheet 11%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wuhan Three Towns Shandong Taishan
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 FA Cup
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan
2:3
May 24, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Wuhan Three Towns
3:3
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan
1:5
Jun 25, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Wuhan Three Towns
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Wuhan Three Towns
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wuhan Three Towns Compare

Top Goalscorer Long Wei
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cadiz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer Liu Yang
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wuhan Three Towns 38 / 100
Shandong Taishan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wuhan Three Towns Shandong Taishan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WUH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shandong Taishan has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Wuhan Three Towns's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Wuhan Three Towns stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wuhan Three Towns VS Shandong Taishan
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Wuhan Three Towns

(Home)
21 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 3
Shandong Taishan
18 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
04 Jul
Dalian Yingbo
3 : 2
Wuhan Three Towns
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns
20 Jun
Qingdao Red Lions
0 : 1
Wuhan Three Towns
Page 1 of 6

Shandong Taishan

(Away)
21 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 3
Shandong Taishan
18 Jul
Dalian Yingbo
3 : 1
Shandong Taishan
10 Jul
Shandong Taishan
4 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 5
Shandong Taishan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Quanzhou Qinggong0
Jiangxi Lushan7
TBD-
Dalian Kun City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Ningxia Pingluo0
Hangzhou Linping2
TBD-
Foshan Nanshi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Guizhou Xufengtang2
Taian Tiankuang1
TBD-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Yunnan Cuanhe0
Guangzhou Dandelion1
TBD-
Wuxi Wugou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners2
Ganzhou Ruishi0
TBD-
Suzhou Dongwu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Changchun Xidu2
TBD-
Dingnan Ganlian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Liaocheng Legend2
Beijing Technology1
TBD-
Ningbo Professional-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Qingdao Fuli0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Guangdong Shudihong1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic4
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Xiamen Chengyi0
Shenzhen 20281
TBD-
Shaanxi Union-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Dalian Kewei2
Wenzhou Professional0
TBD-
Nantong Zhiyun-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen1
Xiamen Feilu0
TBD-
Guangdong GZ-Power-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Chongqing Handa0
Qingdao Red Lions1
TBD-
Nanjing City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar1
Nantong Haimen0
TBD-
Guangxi Hengchen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Second1
Guangdong Mingtu0
TBD-
Yanbian Longding-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui2
Guizhou Guiyang1
TBD-
Shenzhen Juniors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/32-finals
Jiangxi Lushan2
Dalian Kun City0
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Hangzhou Linping1
Foshan Nanshi0
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Guangzhou Dandelion0
Wuxi Wugou2
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners0
Suzhou Dongwu2
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Dingnan Ganlian2
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Liaocheng Legend1
Ningbo Professional4
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
Changchun Yatai1
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Meizhou Hakka1
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Shenzhen 20280
Shaanxi Union2
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Dalian Kewei2
Nantong Zhiyun1
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Qingdao Red Lions1
Nanjing City0
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar0
Guangxi Hengchen4
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Second1
Yanbian Longding0
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui0
Shenzhen Juniors1
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/16-finals
Jiangxi Lushan0
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Hangzhou Linping1
Dalian Yingbo2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2
Wuxi Wugou2
Qingdao Hainiu3
Suzhou Dongwu2
Yunnan Yukun4
Shanghai Zetian0
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Ningbo Professional0
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1
Qingdao West Coast2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Shaanxi Union2
Zhejiang Professional1
Dalian Kewei1
Liaoning Tieren0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
Qingdao Red Lions0
Wuhan Three Towns1
Guangxi Hengchen0
Shandong Taishan5
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Juniors1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
1/8-finals
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Dalian Yingbo2
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Hainiu1
Yunnan Yukun4
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Qingdao West Coast0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Shaanxi Union0
Dalian Kewei1
Beijing Guoan2
Wuhan Three Towns2
Shandong Taishan3
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Quarter-finals
Dalian Yingbo-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Yunnan Yukun-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic-
Beijing Guoan-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Port-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-